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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chonburi FC v Nakhon Ratchasima FC: numbers & prediction

Thai League 1 · Thailand · IPE Chonburi Campus Stadium
2–1
FT
Chonburi FC 49%Draw 27%Nakhon Ratchasima FC 24% Expected goals 1.49 – 1.11
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultChonburi FC to win ✓49% · @1.85
Double chanceChonburi FC or draw ✓76% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.91

Chonburi FC vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 10 May the Thai League 1 brings Chonburi FC against Nakhon Ratchasima FC at IPE Chonburi Campus Stadium. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT.

Current form

Chonburi FC, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Kanchanaburi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Nakhon Ratchasima FC, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sukhothai FC, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Chonburi FC, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Nakhon Ratchasima FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chonburi FC 1.5 xG, Nakhon Ratchasima FC 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chonburi FC 49%, draw 27%, Nakhon Ratchasima FC 24%.
  • Lower-risk option: Chonburi FC or draw (76%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chonburi FC 1–1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chonburi FC49%fair 2.03 · @1.85
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.40
Nakhon Ratchasima FC24%fair 4.16 · @3.80
2.60Expected goals
1.49Chonburi FC xG
1.11Nakhon Ratchasima FC xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Chonburi FC 1.5 – 1.1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChonburi FC to win ✓49%2.031.85
Double chanceChonburi FC or draw ✓76%1.321.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.721.60
Draw no betChonburi FC (draw no bet) ✓67%1.49–
Asian handicapNakhon Ratchasima FC +1 (Asian handicap)70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.341.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.941.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.431.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreChonburi FC to score first53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chonburi FC / FT Chonburi FC ✗27%3.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.91–

Recent results

Chonburi FC – last 6

DDLWWW
2 May@ Kanchanaburi2–2D
26 Aprvs Muangthong United0–0D
8 Aprvs Port FC3–4L
5 Aprvs Rayong FC3–1W
21 Marvs Sukhothai FC2–0W
18 Marvs Thap Luang United1–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Nakhon Ratchasima FC – last 6

WDWDLL
2 Mayvs Sukhothai FC1–0W
5 Aprvs Uthai Thani0–0D
21 Mar@ Ayutthaya FC1–0W
13 Marvs Chiangrai United1–1D
7 Marvs Buriram United0–3L
1 Marvs Prachuap1–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Chonburi FC and Nakhon Ratchasima FC.

Chonburi FC vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC head-to-head page →

Thai League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Port FC7511+716
2Bangkok United8512+716
3Ayutthaya FC8512+616
4Prachuap7511+616
5Buriram United7511+516
6Ratchaburi8413+813
7BG Pathum United8332+412
8Uthai Thani8323+211
9Lamphun Warrior8323+211
10Sisaket United8314-410
11Sukhothai FC8314-610
12Rayong FC8224-98
13Chonburi FC8215-37
14Pattani8215-67
15Chiangrai United7124-45
16Rasi Salai United8017-151

More Thai League 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chonburi FC vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Chonburi FC vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC?

On our numbers Chonburi FC have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Nakhon Ratchasima FC 24%.

How many goals will there be in Chonburi FC vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chonburi FC vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC?

Our predicted score is Chonburi FC 1–1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Chonburi FC vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC?

Chonburi FC vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC (Thai League 1) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at IPE Chonburi Campus Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.