Value bet: New Mexico United to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOakland Roots to win ✓38% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓6% · fair 16.19
Oakland Roots vs New Mexico United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Oakland Roots welcome New Mexico United to Laney College Football Stadium for a USL Championship fixture on Sunday 15 March (03:00 WAT). In the table, Oakland Roots are 10th, in the drop zone, on 38 points after 30 matches; New Mexico United are 1st (leading the league) with 52. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Oakland Roots 0.9 xG, New Mexico United 1.0 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Oakland Roots 38%, draw 26%, New Mexico United 36%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: New Mexico United to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oakland Roots 1–1 New Mexico United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Oakland Roots38%fair 2.64 · @2.10
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.10
New Mexico United36%fair 2.80 · @3.10
1.89Expected goals
0.92Oakland Roots xG
0.97New Mexico United xG
54%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–015%
0–115%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Oakland Roots 0.9 – 1.0 New Mexico United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Oakland Roots
New Mexico United
Attack vs USL Championship average
-2%
+23%
Goals conceded vs average
-6%
-22%
Our expected goals here
1.14
1.41
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oakland Roots to win✓
38%
2.64
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.80
Draw no bet
Oakland Roots (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Oakland Roots +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.05
–
First team to score
New Mexico United to score first✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
6%
16.19
–
Recent results
Oakland Roots – last 1
W
8 Mar
@ Monterey Bay
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
New Mexico United
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oakland Roots and New Mexico United.
What is the prediction for Oakland Roots vs New Mexico United?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Oakland Roots vs New Mexico United?
On our numbers Oakland Roots have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and New Mexico United 36%.
How many goals will there be in Oakland Roots vs New Mexico United?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oakland Roots vs New Mexico United?
Our predicted score is Oakland Roots 1–1 New Mexico United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Oakland Roots vs New Mexico United?
Oakland Roots vs New Mexico United (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Laney College Football Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
