Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Monterey Bay welcome El Paso Locomotive to Cardinale Stadium for a USL Championship fixture on Sunday 15 March (03:00 WAT). In the table, Monterey Bay are 12th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 30 matches; El Paso Locomotive are 3rd (among the top four) with 50. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Monterey Bay 1.2 xG, El Paso Locomotive 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Monterey Bay 34%, draw 26%, El Paso Locomotive 39%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monterey Bay 1–1 El Paso Locomotive. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Monterey Bay34%fair 2.91 · @2.60
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.00
El Paso Locomotive39%fair 2.55 · @2.50
2.61Expected goals
1.21Monterey Bay xG
1.40El Paso Locomotive xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Monterey Bay 1.2 – 1.4 El Paso Locomotive expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Monterey Bay
El Paso Locomotive
Attack vs USL Championship average
-12%
+11%
Goals conceded vs average
+13%
-10%
Our expected goals here
1.18
1.52
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
El Paso Locomotive to win✓
39%
2.55
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.70
Draw no bet
El Paso Locomotive (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Monterey Bay +1 (Asian handicap)✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.94
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
El Paso Locomotive to score first✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT El Paso Locomotive / FT El Paso Locomotive✓
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.45
–
Recent results
Monterey Bay – last 1
L
8 Mar
vs Oakland Roots
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
El Paso Locomotive – last 1
D
8 Mar
vs Colorado Springs
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monterey Bay and El Paso Locomotive.
What is the prediction for Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive?
On our numbers Monterey Bay have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and El Paso Locomotive 39%.
How many goals will there be in Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive?
Our predicted score is Monterey Bay 1–1 El Paso Locomotive, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive?
Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Cardinale Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
