Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultPhoenix Rising to win ✗54% · @1.95
Double chancePhoenix Rising or draw ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Phoenix Rising vs Orange County SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Orange County SC travel to face Phoenix Rising on Sunday 15 March in the USL Championship, with Wild Horse Pass Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 03:00 WAT. In the table, Phoenix Rising are 8th, lower half, on 40 points after 30 matches; Orange County SC are 9th (lower half) with 39. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Phoenix Rising 1.9 xG, Orange County SC 1.2 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Phoenix Rising 54%, draw 24%, Orange County SC 22%.
Lower-risk option: Phoenix Rising or draw (78%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Phoenix Rising or draw (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Phoenix Rising 1–1 Orange County SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Phoenix Rising54%fair 1.85 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.10
Orange County SC22%fair 4.64 · @3.50
3.12Expected goals
1.95Phoenix Rising xG
1.17Orange County SC xG
54%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Phoenix Rising 1.9 – 1.2 Orange County SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Phoenix Rising
Orange County SC
Attack vs USL Championship average
+15%
-4%
Goals conceded vs average
+14%
+30%
Our expected goals here
2.25
1.33
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Phoenix Rising to win✗
54%
1.85
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Phoenix Rising or draw✓
78%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.83
Draw no bet
Phoenix Rising (draw no bet)
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Orange County SC +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
First team to score
Phoenix Rising to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Phoenix Rising ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Phoenix Rising / FT Phoenix Rising✗
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.18
–
Recent results
Phoenix Rising – last 1
L
8 Mar
@ San Antonio
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Orange County SC – last 1
D
8 Mar
vs Las Vegas Lights
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Phoenix Rising and Orange County SC.
What is the prediction for Phoenix Rising vs Orange County SC?
Our pick is Phoenix Rising or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Phoenix Rising vs Orange County SC?
On our numbers Phoenix Rising have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Orange County SC 22%.
How many goals will there be in Phoenix Rising vs Orange County SC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Phoenix Rising vs Orange County SC?
Our predicted score is Phoenix Rising 1–1 Orange County SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Phoenix Rising vs Orange County SC?
Phoenix Rising vs Orange County SC (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Wild Horse Pass Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
