Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 54% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultIndepend. Rivadavia to win46% · @2.32
Double chanceIndepend. Rivadavia or draw73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals81% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.33
Aldosivi vs Independ. Rivadavia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 3 May the Liga Profesional Argentina brings Aldosivi against Independ. Rivadavia. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT. In the table, Aldosivi are 29th, in the drop zone, on 19 points after 32 matches; Independ. Rivadavia are 4th (among the top four) with 57. There are 38 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Aldosivi, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to River Plate, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Independ. Rivadavia, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Deportivo La Guaira, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Independ. Rivadavia, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.3 for Aldosivi.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aldosivi 1.0 xG, Independ. Rivadavia 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aldosivi 27%, draw 27%, Independ. Rivadavia 46%.
Lower-risk option: Independ. Rivadavia or draw (73%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Independ. Rivadavia or draw (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aldosivi 0–1 Independ. Rivadavia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aldosivi27%fair 3.74 · @3.35
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @2.95
Independ. Rivadavia46%fair 2.18 · @2.32
2.38Expected goals
1.00Aldosivi xG
1.38Independ. Rivadavia xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–113%
0–09%
1–09%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: Aldosivi 1.0 – 1.4 Independ. Rivadavia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independ. Rivadavia to win
46%
2.18
2.32 ▲
Double chance
Independ. Rivadavia or draw
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.86
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Independ. Rivadavia (draw no bet)
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
Aldosivi +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
65%
1.55
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
61%
1.63
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
81%
1.24
1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
91%
1.10
1.04
First team to score
Independ. Rivadavia to score first
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independ. Rivadavia / FT Independ. Rivadavia
27%
3.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.33
–
Recent results
Aldosivi – last 6
LLLDDL
26 Apr
@ River Plate
1–3
L
11 Apr
@ Belgrano Cordoba
0–1
L
31 Mar
vs Argentinos JRS
0–2
L
16 Mar
vs Huracan
0–0
D
12 Mar
@ Atletico Tucuman
1–1
D
3 Mar
@ Banfield
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Independ. Rivadavia – last 6
WDWWWW
30 Apr
vs Deportivo La Guaira
4–1
W
20 Apr
@ Banfield
0–0
D
16 Apr
@ Fluminense
2–1
W
7 Apr
vs Bolívar
1–0
W
2 Apr
@ Tigre
2–0
W
23 Mar
vs Rosario Central
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aldosivi and Independ. Rivadavia.
What is the prediction for Aldosivi vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Our pick is Independ. Rivadavia or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Aldosivi vs Independ. Rivadavia?
On our numbers Aldosivi have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Independ. Rivadavia 46%.
How many goals will there be in Aldosivi vs Independ. Rivadavia?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aldosivi vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Our predicted score is Aldosivi 0–1 Independ. Rivadavia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Aldosivi vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Aldosivi vs Independ. Rivadavia (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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