River Plate 61%Draw 24%Atletico Tucuman 15%Expected goals 1.58 – 0.75
77%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultRiver Plate to win61% · @1.46
Double chanceRiver Plate or draw85% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–015% · fair 6.49
River Plate vs Atletico Tucuman: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
River Plate welcome Atletico Tucuman to Estadio Monumental for a Liga Profesional Argentina fixture on Sunday 3 May (22:30 WAT). In the table, River Plate are 7th, upper half, on 55 points after 32 matches; Atletico Tucuman are 26th (lower half) with 32. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
River Plate, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over RB Bragantino, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Atletico Tucuman, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Banfield, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours River Plate, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.2 for Atletico Tucuman.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give River Plate 1.6 xG, Atletico Tucuman 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – River Plate 61%, draw 24%, Atletico Tucuman 15%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: River Plate 1–0 Atletico Tucuman. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
River Plate61%fair 1.65 · @1.46
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.90
Atletico Tucuman15%fair 6.46 · @7.90
2.33Expected goals
1.58River Plate xG
0.75Atletico Tucuman xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–112%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: River Plate 1.6 – 0.7 Atletico Tucuman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
River Plate to win
61%
1.65
1.46
Double chance
River Plate or draw
85%
1.18
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
50%
2.00
1.57
Draw no bet
River Plate (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Atletico Tucuman +1.5 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
77%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
89%
1.12
1.08
First team to score
River Plate to score first
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT River Plate / FT River Plate
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
15%
6.49
–
Recent results
River Plate – last 6
WWWWDW
1 May
@ RB Bragantino
1–0
W
26 Apr
vs Aldosivi
3–1
W
16 Apr
vs Carabobo FC
1–0
W
13 Apr
@ Racing Club
2–0
W
9 Apr
@ Blooming
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Sarmiento Junin
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Atletico Tucuman – last 6
DLLWWL
27 Apr
vs Banfield
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Argentinos JRS
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Rosario Central
1–2
L
25 Mar
vs Sportivo Barracas
2–1
W
21 Mar
vs Gimnasia L.P.
1–0
W
16 Mar
@ Barracas Central
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between River Plate and Atletico Tucuman.
What is the prediction for River Plate vs Atletico Tucuman?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win River Plate vs Atletico Tucuman?
On our numbers River Plate have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atletico Tucuman 15%.
How many goals will there be in River Plate vs Atletico Tucuman?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for River Plate vs Atletico Tucuman?
Our predicted score is River Plate 1–0 Atletico Tucuman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is River Plate vs Atletico Tucuman?
River Plate vs Atletico Tucuman (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Platense0
Estudiantes L.P.2