Value bet: Gimnasia L.P. to win @ 3.40 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultArgentinos JRS to win39% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 13.13
Gimnasia L.P. vs Argentinos JRS: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gimnasia L.P. welcome Argentinos JRS to Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo for a Liga Profesional Argentina fixture on Sunday 3 May (20:00 WAT). In the table, Gimnasia L.P. are 5th, upper half, on 57 points after 32 matches; Argentinos JRS are 3rd (among the top four) with 60. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Gimnasia L.P., last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Acassuso, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Argentinos JRS, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Huracan, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Argentinos JRS, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.5 for Gimnasia L.P..
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gimnasia L.P. 1.1 xG, Argentinos JRS 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnasia L.P. 34%, draw 28%, Argentinos JRS 39%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Gimnasia L.P. to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnasia L.P. 1–1 Argentinos JRS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gimnasia L.P.34%fair 2.98 · @3.40
Draw28%fair 3.61 · @3.05
Argentinos JRS39%fair 2.58 · @2.22
2.29Expected goals
1.14Gimnasia L.P. xG
1.15Argentinos JRS xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–010%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Gimnasia L.P. 1.1 – 1.1 Argentinos JRS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Argentinos JRS to win
39%
2.58
2.22
Double chance
Either team to win
72%
1.38
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.92
2.00
Draw no bet
Argentinos JRS (draw no bet)
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Gimnasia L.P. +0.5 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
65%
1.53
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
60%
1.66
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
91%
1.10
1.05
First team to score
Argentinos JRS to score first
45%
2.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Argentinos JRS / FT Argentinos JRS
20%
4.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
13.13
–
Recent results
Gimnasia L.P. – last 6
WWWLLL
22 Apr
@ Acassuso
3–0
W
13 Apr
@ Sarmiento Junin
2–1
W
10 Apr
vs Deportivo Camioneros
4–1
W
5 Apr
vs Huracan
0–3
L
21 Mar
@ Atletico Tucuman
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Independ. Rivadavia
2–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Argentinos JRS – last 6
WWWWWD
28 Apr
@ Huracan
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Atletico Tucuman
1–0
W
6 Apr
vs Banfield
3–2
W
31 Mar
@ Aldosivi
2–0
W
27 Mar
vs Lanus
2–1
W
16 Mar
@ Tigre
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnasia L.P. and Argentinos JRS.
What is the prediction for Gimnasia L.P. vs Argentinos JRS?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Gimnasia L.P. vs Argentinos JRS?
On our numbers Gimnasia L.P. have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Argentinos JRS 39%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia L.P. vs Argentinos JRS?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia L.P. vs Argentinos JRS?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia L.P. 1–1 Argentinos JRS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia L.P. vs Argentinos JRS?
Gimnasia L.P. vs Argentinos JRS (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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