Rosario Central 49%Draw 28%Tigre 23%Expected goals 1.37 – 0.76
77%
Betarazi pick
Rosario Central or draw
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.20
8/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultRosario Central to win49% · @2.00
Double chanceRosario Central or draw77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 11.79
Rosario Central vs Tigre: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tigre travel to face Rosario Central on Sunday 3 May in the Liga Profesional Argentina, with Estadio Gigante de Arroyito the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Rosario Central are 2nd, among the top four, on 62 points after 32 matches; Tigre are 20th (lower half) with 39. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Rosario Central, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over UCV, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Tigre, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over America de Cali, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Rosario Central, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.8 for Tigre.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rosario Central 1.4 xG, Tigre 0.8 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rosario Central 49%, draw 28%, Tigre 23%.
Lower-risk option: Rosario Central or draw (77%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Rosario Central or draw (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rosario Central 1–0 Tigre. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rosario Central49%fair 2.04 · @2.00
Draw28%fair 3.51 · @2.92
Tigre23%fair 4.43 · @4.40
2.13Expected goals
1.37Rosario Central xG
0.76Tigre xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–112%
0–012%
2–011%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Rosario Central 1.4 – 0.8 Tigre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rosario Central to win
49%
2.04
2.00
Double chance
Rosario Central or draw
77%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.96
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Rosario Central (draw no bet)
68%
1.46
–
Asian handicap
Tigre +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
64%
1.56
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
82%
1.22
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
92%
1.09
1.04
First team to score
Rosario Central to score first
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rosario Central / FT Rosario Central
30%
3.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
11.79
–
Recent results
Rosario Central – last 6
WWWWDW
29 Apr
@ UCV
3–0
W
24 Apr
@ Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2–1
W
20 Apr
vs Sarmiento Junin
2–1
W
15 Apr
@ Libertad Asuncion
1–0
W
9 Apr
vs Independiente del Valle
0–0
D
5 Apr
vs Atletico Tucuman
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tigre – last 6
WLDLDL
1 May
vs America de Cali
2–0
W
25 Apr
@ Sarmiento Junin
0–1
L
21 Apr
vs Huracan
1–1
D
16 Apr
vs Macara
0–1
L
8 Apr
@ Alianza Atletico
1–1
D
2 Apr
vs Independ. Rivadavia
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rosario Central and Tigre.
What is the prediction for Rosario Central vs Tigre?
Our pick is Rosario Central or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Rosario Central vs Tigre?
On our numbers Rosario Central have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Tigre 23%.
How many goals will there be in Rosario Central vs Tigre?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rosario Central vs Tigre?
Our predicted score is Rosario Central 1–0 Tigre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Rosario Central vs Tigre?
Rosario Central vs Tigre (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gigante de Arroyito.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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