Value bet: Gimnasia L.P. to win @ 3.55 – our chance 34% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBanfield to win ✗39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.47
Banfield vs Gimnasia L.P.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Banfield welcome Gimnasia L.P. to Florencio Sola for a Liga Profesional Argentina fixture on Wednesday 11 March (21:30 WAT). In the table, Banfield are 25th, lower half, on 33 points after 32 matches; Gimnasia L.P. are 5th (upper half) with 57. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Banfield, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Aldosivi, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Gimnasia L.P., last 4: DLWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Tigre, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Banfield, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Gimnasia L.P..
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Banfield 1.3 xG, Gimnasia L.P. 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Banfield 39%, draw 26%, Gimnasia L.P. 34%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Gimnasia L.P. to win @3.55 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.47, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Banfield 1–1 Gimnasia L.P.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Banfield39%fair 2.56 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.00
Gimnasia L.P.34%fair 2.90 · @3.55
2.61Expected goals
1.28Banfield xG
1.33Gimnasia L.P. xG
58%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Banfield 1.3 – 1.3 Gimnasia L.P. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Banfield to win✗
39%
2.56
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Banfield (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Banfield +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.05
First team to score
Gimnasia L.P. to score first✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gimnasia L.P. / FT Gimnasia L.P.✓
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.47
–
Recent results
Banfield – last 3
WLW
3 Mar
vs Aldosivi
2–0
W
26 Feb
@ River Plate
1–3
L
21 Feb
vs Newells Old Boys
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gimnasia L.P. – last 4
DLWD
2 Mar
@ Tigre
2–2
D
25 Feb
vs Rosario Central
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ Gimnasia M.
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Estudiantes L.P.
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Banfield and Gimnasia L.P..
What is the prediction for Banfield vs Gimnasia L.P.?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Banfield vs Gimnasia L.P.?
On our numbers Banfield have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Gimnasia L.P. 34%.
How many goals will there be in Banfield vs Gimnasia L.P.?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Banfield vs Gimnasia L.P.?
Our predicted score is Banfield 1–1 Gimnasia L.P., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Banfield vs Gimnasia L.P.?
Banfield vs Gimnasia L.P. (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Florencio Sola.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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