Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.38 – our chance 50% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPlatense to win ✗36% · @2.56
Double chanceEither team to win ✗69% · @1.38
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.38
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗6% · fair 15.61
Newells Old Boys vs Platense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:00 WAT, Wednesday 11 March: Newells Old Boys v Platense in the Liga Profesional Argentina, played at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa. In the table, Newells Old Boys are 22nd, lower half, on 38 points after 32 matches; Platense are 24th (lower half) with 36. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Newells Old Boys, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Estudiantes L.P., at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Platense, last 3: DDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Deportivo Riestra, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Platense, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Newells Old Boys.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newells Old Boys 1.0 xG, Platense 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newells Old Boys 33%, draw 31%, Platense 36%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.38.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.38 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newells Old Boys 0–0 Platense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newells Old Boys33%fair 3.02 · @3.15
Draw31%fair 3.26 · @2.78
Platense36%fair 2.76 · @2.56
1.92Expected goals
0.97Newells Old Boys xG
0.95Platense xG
50%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–015%
1–014%
0–114%
1–114%
2–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Newells Old Boys 1.0 – 0.9 Platense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Platense to win✗
36%
2.76
2.56
Double chance
Either team to win✗
69%
1.44
1.38
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
2.38 ▲
Draw no bet
Platense (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Platense +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.70
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.10
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
1.03
First team to score
Newells Old Boys to score first✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
6%
15.61
–
Recent results
Newells Old Boys – last 3
LLD
25 Feb
vs Estudiantes L.P.
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Banfield
0–3
L
16 Feb
@ Deportivo Riestra
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Platense – last 3
DDD
2 Mar
@ Deportivo Riestra
0–0
D
24 Feb
vs Defensa Y Justicia
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Boca Juniors
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newells Old Boys and Platense.
What is the prediction for Newells Old Boys vs Platense?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Newells Old Boys vs Platense?
On our numbers Newells Old Boys have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Platense 36%.
How many goals will there be in Newells Old Boys vs Platense?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newells Old Boys vs Platense?
Our predicted score is Newells Old Boys 0–0 Platense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Newells Old Boys vs Platense?
Newells Old Boys vs Platense (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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