Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.42
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.74
Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
San Lorenzo travel to face Boca Juniors on Wednesday 11 March in the Liga Profesional Argentina, with Alberto Jose Armando the venue – the ball rolls at 23:45 WAT. In the table, Boca Juniors are 1st, leading the league, on 63 points after 32 matches; San Lorenzo are 18th (lower half) with 41. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Boca Juniors, last 4: WWDD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Lanus, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
San Lorenzo, last 4: DDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Talleres Cordoba, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Boca Juniors, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for San Lorenzo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Boca Juniors 1.4 xG, San Lorenzo 0.5 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Boca Juniors 58%, draw 27%, San Lorenzo 14%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.42.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Boca Juniors 1–0 San Lorenzo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Boca Juniors58%fair 1.71 · @1.67
Draw27%fair 3.64 · @3.25
San Lorenzo14%fair 7.08 · @6.20
1.88Expected goals
1.38Boca Juniors xG
0.50San Lorenzo xG
46%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–021%
0–015%
2–015%
1–111%
0–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: Boca Juniors 1.4 – 0.5 San Lorenzo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Boca Juniors to win✗
58%
1.71
1.67
Double chance
Boca Juniors or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.42
Draw no bet
Boca Juniors (draw no bet)
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
San Lorenzo +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.11
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
1.03
First team to score
Boca Juniors to score first
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Boca Juniors / FT Boca Juniors✗
35%
2.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.74
–
Recent results
Boca Juniors – last 4
WWDD
5 Mar
@ Lanus
3–0
W
25 Feb
vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
2–0
W
21 Feb
vs Racing Club
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Platense
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
San Lorenzo – last 4
DDWD
1 Mar
@ Talleres Cordoba
0–0
D
24 Feb
vs Instituto Cordoba
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2–0
W
14 Feb
@ Union Santa Fe
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Boca Juniors and San Lorenzo.
What is the prediction for Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo?
On our numbers Boca Juniors have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 27% and San Lorenzo 14%.
How many goals will there be in Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo?
Our predicted score is Boca Juniors 1–0 San Lorenzo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo?
Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 23:45 (West Africa Time) at Alberto Jose Armando.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sarmiento Junin0
Racing Club0
Argentinos JRS0
Rosario Central0
Banfield1
Gimnasia L.P.2