Sarmiento Junin 34%Draw 27%Racing Club 39%Expected goals 1.23 – 1.19
65%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
1
Value bet: Sarmiento Junin to win @ 3.50 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRacing Club to win ✗39% · @2.24
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.89
Sarmiento Junin vs Racing Club: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 11 March the Liga Profesional Argentina brings Sarmiento Junin against Racing Club at Estadio Eva Perón. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT. In the table, Sarmiento Junin are 19th, lower half, on 40 points after 32 matches; Racing Club are 23rd (lower half) with 36.
Current form
Sarmiento Junin, last 4: WLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Racing Club, last 3: WDD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Atletico Tucuman, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Racing Club, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Sarmiento Junin.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sarmiento Junin 1.2 xG, Racing Club 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sarmiento Junin 34%, draw 27%, Racing Club 39%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Sarmiento Junin to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarmiento Junin 1–1 Racing Club. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sarmiento Junin34%fair 2.95 · @3.50
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @2.98
Racing Club39%fair 2.57 · @2.24
2.42Expected goals
1.23Sarmiento Junin xG
1.19Racing Club xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Sarmiento Junin 1.2 – 1.2 Racing Club expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Racing Club to win✗
39%
2.57
2.24
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Racing Club (draw no bet)
54%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Racing Club +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.04
First team to score
Sarmiento Junin to score first✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sarmiento Junin / FT Sarmiento Junin✗
21%
4.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.89
–
Recent results
Sarmiento Junin – last 4
WLLL
3 Mar
vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
1–0
W
26 Feb
vs Union Santa Fe
1–3
L
20 Feb
@ Estudiantes L.P.
0–1
L
14 Feb
@ Huracan
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Racing Club – last 3
WDD
4 Mar
@ Atletico Tucuman
3–0
W
26 Feb
vs Independ. Rivadavia
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Boca Juniors
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarmiento Junin and Racing Club.
What is the prediction for Sarmiento Junin vs Racing Club?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Sarmiento Junin vs Racing Club?
On our numbers Sarmiento Junin have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Racing Club 39%.
How many goals will there be in Sarmiento Junin vs Racing Club?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarmiento Junin vs Racing Club?
Our predicted score is Sarmiento Junin 1–1 Racing Club, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sarmiento Junin vs Racing Club?
Sarmiento Junin vs Racing Club (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Eva Perón.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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