Value bet: Gimnasia L.P. to win @ 3.75 – our chance 33% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAtletico Tucuman to win ✓41% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.92
Atletico Tucuman vs Gimnasia L.P.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 21 March the Liga Profesional Argentina brings Atletico Tucuman against Gimnasia L.P. at Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, Atletico Tucuman are 26th, lower half, on 32 points after 32 matches; Gimnasia L.P. are 5th (upper half) with 57. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atletico Tucuman, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Barracas Central, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Gimnasia L.P., last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Independ. Rivadavia, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Gimnasia L.P., collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Atletico Tucuman.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Tucuman 1.3 xG, Gimnasia L.P. 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Tucuman 41%, draw 26%, Gimnasia L.P. 33%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Gimnasia L.P. to win @3.75 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Tucuman 1–1 Gimnasia L.P.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Tucuman41%fair 2.46 · @2.02
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.25
Gimnasia L.P.33%fair 3.01 · @3.75
2.56Expected goals
1.33Atletico Tucuman xG
1.24Gimnasia L.P. xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Atletico Tucuman 1.3 – 1.2 Gimnasia L.P. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Tucuman to win✓
41%
2.46
2.02
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Atletico Tucuman (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Gimnasia L.P. +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.05
First team to score
Atletico Tucuman to score first✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Tucuman / FT Atletico Tucuman✓
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.92
–
Recent results
Atletico Tucuman – last 6
LDLLLW
16 Mar
@ Barracas Central
1–2
L
12 Mar
vs Aldosivi
1–1
D
4 Mar
vs Racing Club
0–3
L
25 Feb
@ Belgrano Cordoba
1–3
L
21 Feb
@ Instituto Cordoba
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
4–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Gimnasia L.P. – last 6
LWDLWD
15 Mar
vs Independ. Rivadavia
2–3
L
11 Mar
@ Banfield
2–1
W
2 Mar
@ Tigre
2–2
D
25 Feb
vs Rosario Central
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ Gimnasia M.
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Estudiantes L.P.
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Tucuman and Gimnasia L.P..
What is the prediction for Atletico Tucuman vs Gimnasia L.P.?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Atletico Tucuman vs Gimnasia L.P.?
On our numbers Atletico Tucuman have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Gimnasia L.P. 33%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Tucuman vs Gimnasia L.P.?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Tucuman vs Gimnasia L.P.?
Our predicted score is Atletico Tucuman 1–1 Gimnasia L.P., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Atletico Tucuman vs Gimnasia L.P.?
Atletico Tucuman vs Gimnasia L.P. (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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Gimnasia M.