Defensa Y Justicia 39%Draw 27%Union Santa Fe 34%Expected goals 1.36 – 1.19
67%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.53
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 55% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultDefensa Y Justicia to win39% · @2.78
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.61
Defensa Y Justicia vs Union Santa Fe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Defensa Y Justicia welcome Union Santa Fe to Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello for a Liga Profesional Argentina fixture on Saturday 21 March (21:45 WAT). In the table, Defensa Y Justicia are 14th, upper half, on 47 points after 32 matches; Union Santa Fe are 16th (lower half) with 42.
Current form
Defensa Y Justicia, last 5: WDDDD Their latest outing: 5–2 win over San Lorenzo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Union Santa Fe, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Boca Juniors, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Union Santa Fe, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Defensa Y Justicia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Defensa Y Justicia 1.4 xG, Union Santa Fe 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Defensa Y Justicia 39%, draw 27%, Union Santa Fe 34%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.49, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Defensa Y Justicia 1–1 Union Santa Fe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Defensa Y Justicia39%fair 2.60 · @2.78
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @2.92
Union Santa Fe34%fair 2.90 · @2.72
2.55Expected goals
1.36Defensa Y Justicia xG
1.19Union Santa Fe xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Defensa Y Justicia 1.4 – 1.2 Union Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Defensa Y Justicia to win
39%
2.60
2.78 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
73%
1.37
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.81
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Defensa Y Justicia (draw no bet)
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Union Santa Fe +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
67%
1.49
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
58%
1.71
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
78%
1.28
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
90%
1.12
1.04
First team to score
Defensa Y Justicia to score first
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Defensa Y Justicia / FT Defensa Y Justicia
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.61
–
Recent results
Defensa Y Justicia – last 6
WDDDDD
16 Mar
@ San Lorenzo
5–2
W
12 Mar
vs Central Cordoba de Santiago
1–1
D
2 Mar
vs Lanus
1–1
D
24 Feb
@ Platense
0–0
D
20 Feb
vs Belgrano Cordoba
1–1
D
14 Feb
vs Velez Sarsfield
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Union Santa Fe – last 6
DDWWWD
16 Mar
vs Boca Juniors
1–1
D
10 Mar
@ Independiente
4–4
D
1 Mar
@ Instituto Cordoba
2–1
W
26 Feb
@ Sarmiento Junin
3–1
W
23 Feb
vs Aldosivi
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs San Lorenzo
0–0
D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Defensa Y Justicia and Union Santa Fe.
What is the prediction for Defensa Y Justicia vs Union Santa Fe?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Defensa Y Justicia vs Union Santa Fe?
On our numbers Defensa Y Justicia have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Union Santa Fe 34%.
How many goals will there be in Defensa Y Justicia vs Union Santa Fe?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Defensa Y Justicia vs Union Santa Fe?
Our predicted score is Defensa Y Justicia 1–1 Union Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Defensa Y Justicia vs Union Santa Fe?
Defensa Y Justicia vs Union Santa Fe (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 21:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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