Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–014% · fair 7.08
Velez Sarsfield vs Lanus: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Velez Sarsfield welcome Lanus for a Liga Profesional Argentina fixture on Saturday 21 March (19:30 WAT). In the table, Velez Sarsfield are 6th, upper half, on 56 points after 32 matches; Lanus are 9th (upper half) with 50.
Current form
Velez Sarsfield, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tigre, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Lanus, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Newells Old Boys, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Velez Sarsfield 1.3 xG, Lanus 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Velez Sarsfield 45%, draw 29%, Lanus 26%.
Lower-risk option: Velez Sarsfield or draw (74%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Velez Sarsfield or draw (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Velez Sarsfield 1–0 Lanus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Velez Sarsfield45%fair 2.23 · @2.15
Draw29%fair 3.48 · @2.96
Lanus26%fair 3.78 · @3.75
2.20Expected goals
1.27Velez Sarsfield xG
0.93Lanus xG
50%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Velez Sarsfield 1.3 – 0.9 Lanus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Velez Sarsfield to win
45%
2.23
2.15
Double chance
Velez Sarsfield or draw
74%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
50%
1.99
1.60
Draw no bet
Velez Sarsfield (draw no bet)
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Lanus +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
62%
1.61
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
64%
1.57
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
82%
1.21
1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
92%
1.09
1.04
First team to score
Velez Sarsfield to score first
51%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Velez Sarsfield / FT Velez Sarsfield
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
14%
7.08
–
Recent results
Velez Sarsfield – last 5
DWDWD
10 Mar
@ Tigre
1–1
D
2 Mar
@ Estudiantes L.P.
1–0
W
25 Feb
vs Deportivo Riestra
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs River Plate
1–0
W
14 Feb
@ Defensa Y Justicia
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Lanus – last 6
WWLDLW
17 Mar
vs Newells Old Boys
5–0
W
14 Mar
@ Estudiantes L.P.
1–0
W
5 Mar
vs Boca Juniors
0–3
L
2 Mar
@ Defensa Y Justicia
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Flamengo
1–2
L
20 Feb
vs Flamengo
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Velez Sarsfield and Lanus.
What is the prediction for Velez Sarsfield vs Lanus?
Our pick is Velez Sarsfield or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Velez Sarsfield vs Lanus?
On our numbers Velez Sarsfield have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Lanus 26%.
How many goals will there be in Velez Sarsfield vs Lanus?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Velez Sarsfield vs Lanus?
Our predicted score is Velez Sarsfield 1–0 Lanus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Velez Sarsfield vs Lanus?
Velez Sarsfield vs Lanus (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Atletico Tucuman1
Gimnasia L.P.0
Banfield1
Tigre0