Newells Old Boys 38%Draw 30%Gimnasia M. 32%Expected goals 1.14 – 0.97
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.40
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 52% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultNewells Old Boys to win38% · @2.34
Double chanceEither team to win70% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 13.13
Newells Old Boys vs Gimnasia M.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Newells Old Boys welcome Gimnasia M. to Estadio Marcelo Bielsa for a Liga Profesional Argentina fixture on Saturday 21 March (21:45 WAT). In the table, Newells Old Boys are 22nd, lower half, on 38 points after 32 matches; Gimnasia M. are 17th (lower half) with 41. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Newells Old Boys, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Lanus, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game.
Gimnasia M., last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Estudiantes L.P., at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newells Old Boys 1.1 xG, Gimnasia M. 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newells Old Boys 38%, draw 30%, Gimnasia M. 32%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newells Old Boys 1–0 Gimnasia M.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newells Old Boys38%fair 2.61 · @2.34
Draw30%fair 3.32 · @2.84
Gimnasia M.32%fair 3.17 · @3.45
2.10Expected goals
1.14Newells Old Boys xG
0.97Gimnasia M. xG
52%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Newells Old Boys 1.1 – 1.0 Gimnasia M. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newells Old Boys to win
38%
2.61
2.34
Double chance
Either team to win
70%
1.43
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.93
2.25 ▲
Draw no bet
Newells Old Boys (draw no bet)
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Gimnasia M. +0.5 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
60%
1.66
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
66%
1.51
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
84%
1.19
1.12
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
93%
1.08
1.03
First team to score
Newells Old Boys to score first
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newells Old Boys / FT Newells Old Boys
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
13.13
–
Recent results
Newells Old Boys – last 5
LDLLD
17 Mar
@ Lanus
0–5
L
11 Mar
vs Platense
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs Estudiantes L.P.
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Banfield
0–3
L
16 Feb
@ Deportivo Riestra
1–1
D
0.4Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Gimnasia M. – last 5
LDDLL
18 Mar
vs Estudiantes L.P.
1–2
L
12 Mar
@ Deportivo Riestra
0–0
D
25 Feb
vs Independiente
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Gimnasia L.P.
0–1
L
14 Feb
@ Talleres Cordoba
1–2
L
0.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newells Old Boys and Gimnasia M..
What is the prediction for Newells Old Boys vs Gimnasia M.?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Newells Old Boys vs Gimnasia M.?
On our numbers Newells Old Boys have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Gimnasia M. 32%.
How many goals will there be in Newells Old Boys vs Gimnasia M.?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newells Old Boys vs Gimnasia M.?
Our predicted score is Newells Old Boys 1–0 Gimnasia M., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Newells Old Boys vs Gimnasia M.?
Newells Old Boys vs Gimnasia M. (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 21:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Atletico Tucuman1
Gimnasia L.P.0
Banfield1
Tigre0