Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Cruzeiro to win @ 1.83 – our chance 60% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCruzeiro to win ✗60% · @1.83
Double chanceCruzeiro or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Cruzeiro vs Corinthians: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Thursday 26 February: Cruzeiro v Corinthians in the Serie A, played at Governador Magalhães Pinto. In the table, Cruzeiro are 3rd, among the top four, on 60 points after 34 matches; Corinthians are 17th (lower half) with 37. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cruzeiro 1.9 xG, Corinthians 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cruzeiro 60%, draw 23%, Corinthians 17%.
Lower-risk option: Cruzeiro or draw (83%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Cruzeiro to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cruzeiro or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cruzeiro 1–0 Corinthians. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cruzeiro60%fair 1.68 · @1.83
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.35
Corinthians17%fair 5.91 · @4.40
2.84Expected goals
1.93Cruzeiro xG
0.91Corinthians xG
53%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Cruzeiro 1.9 – 0.9 Corinthians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cruzeiro
Corinthians
Attack vs Serie A average
+35%
-15%
Goals conceded vs average
-1%
+3%
Our expected goals here
2.13
0.96
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cruzeiro to win✗
60%
1.68
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Cruzeiro or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.85
Draw no bet
Cruzeiro (draw no bet)
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Cruzeiro -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
2.05
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.09
First team to score
Cruzeiro to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Cruzeiro ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cruzeiro / FT Cruzeiro✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
Cruzeiro – last 1
W
14 Feb
@ Uniao Trabalhadores
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Corinthians – last 2
WW
19 Feb
@ Atletico Paranaense
1–0
W
16 Feb
@ São Bernardo
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cruzeiro and Corinthians.
What is the prediction for Cruzeiro vs Corinthians?
Our pick is Cruzeiro or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cruzeiro vs Corinthians?
On our numbers Cruzeiro have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Corinthians 17%.
How many goals will there be in Cruzeiro vs Corinthians?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruzeiro vs Corinthians?
Our predicted score is Cruzeiro 1–0 Corinthians, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Cruzeiro vs Corinthians?
Cruzeiro vs Corinthians (Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 26 February 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Governador Magalhães Pinto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
