Santos vs Vasco DA Gama: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Santos welcome Vasco DA Gama to Estádio Urbano Caldeira for a Serie A fixture on Thursday 26 February (23:00 WAT). In the table, Santos are 9th, upper half, on 47 points after 34 matches; Vasco DA Gama are 13th (lower half) with 41.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santos 1.7 xG, Vasco DA Gama 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santos 47%, draw 25%, Vasco DA Gama 28%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santos 1–1 Vasco DA Gama. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santos47%fair 2.11 · @2.06
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.35
Vasco DA Gama28%fair 3.58 · @3.50
2.80Expected goals
1.65Santos xG
1.15Vasco DA Gama xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Santos 1.7 – 1.1 Vasco DA Gama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
Attack vs Serie A average
+11%
+8%
Goals conceded vs average
-7%
+6%
Our expected goals here
1.80
1.15
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santos to win✓
47%
2.11
2.06
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.77
Draw no bet
Santos (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Vasco DA Gama +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.10
First team to score
Santos to score first
55%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santos / FT Santos✗
30%
3.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.50
–
Recent results
Santos – last 2
LW
22 Feb
@ Novorizontino
1–2
L
16 Feb
vs Velo Clube
7–0
W
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Vasco DA Gama – last 1
L
22 Feb
vs Fluminense
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santos and Vasco DA Gama.
What is the prediction for Santos vs Vasco DA Gama?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Santos vs Vasco DA Gama?
On our numbers Santos have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Vasco DA Gama 28%.
How many goals will there be in Santos vs Vasco DA Gama?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santos vs Vasco DA Gama?
Our predicted score is Santos 1–1 Vasco DA Gama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Santos vs Vasco DA Gama?
Santos vs Vasco DA Gama (Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 26 February 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Urbano Caldeira.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
