Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCorinthians to win ✗57% · @1.60
Double chanceCorinthians or draw ✗83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.68
Corinthians vs Coritiba: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 12 March the Serie A brings Corinthians against Coritiba at Neo Química Arena. Kick-off: 01:30 WAT. In the table, Corinthians are 17th, lower half, on 37 points after 34 matches; Coritiba are 12th (lower half) with 42.
Current form
Corinthians, last 4: LDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Novorizontino, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Corinthians 1.6 xG, Coritiba 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Corinthians 57%, draw 26%, Coritiba 17%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Corinthians 1–0 Coritiba. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Corinthians57%fair 1.75 · @1.60
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.65
Coritiba17%fair 5.87 · @5.90
2.44Expected goals
1.59Corinthians xG
0.84Coritiba xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Corinthians 1.6 – 0.8 Coritiba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Corinthians
Coritiba
Attack vs Serie A average
-15%
-20%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
+18%
Our expected goals here
1.54
0.95
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Corinthians to win✗
57%
1.75
1.60
Double chance
Corinthians or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Corinthians (draw no bet)✗
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Coritiba +1 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.07
First team to score
Corinthians to score first✗
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Corinthians / FT Corinthians✗
33%
2.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.68
–
Recent results
Corinthians – last 4
LDWW
1 Mar
@ Novorizontino
0–1
L
26 Feb
@ Cruzeiro
1–1
D
19 Feb
@ Atletico Paranaense
1–0
W
16 Feb
@ São Bernardo
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Coritiba – last 1
L
25 Feb
vs Sao Paulo
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Corinthians and Coritiba.
What is the prediction for Corinthians vs Coritiba?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Corinthians vs Coritiba?
On our numbers Corinthians have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Coritiba 17%.
How many goals will there be in Corinthians vs Coritiba?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Corinthians vs Coritiba?
Our predicted score is Corinthians 1–0 Coritiba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Corinthians vs Coritiba?
Corinthians vs Coritiba (Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Neo Química Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
