Santos vs Internacional: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:30 WAT, Thursday 19 March: Santos v Internacional in the Serie A, played at Estádio Urbano Caldeira. In the table, Santos are 9th, upper half, on 47 points after 34 matches; Internacional are 16th (lower half) with 38.
Current form
Santos, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Corinthians, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.6 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Internacional, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Bahia, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Santos, collecting 1.6 points per game to 0.8 for Internacional.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santos 1.5 xG, Internacional 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santos 45%, draw 27%, Internacional 28%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santos 1–1 Internacional. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santos45%fair 2.22 · @2.34
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.10
Internacional28%fair 3.53 · @3.15
2.59Expected goals
1.55Santos xG
1.04Internacional xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Santos 1.5 – 1.0 Internacional expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Santos
Internacional
Attack vs Serie A average
+11%
-15%
Goals conceded vs average
-7%
-5%
Our expected goals here
1.61
0.90
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santos to win✗
45%
2.22
2.34 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.62
Draw no bet
Santos (draw no bet)✗
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Internacional +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.12
First team to score
Santos to score first
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santos / FT Santos✗
29%
3.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.67
–
Recent results
Santos – last 5
DDWLW
15 Mar
vs Corinthians
1–1
D
11 Mar
@ Mirassol
2–2
D
26 Feb
vs Vasco DA Gama
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Novorizontino
1–2
L
16 Feb
vs Velo Clube
7–0
W
2.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Internacional – last 5
LLDWL
15 Mar
vs Bahia
0–1
L
11 Mar
@ Atletico-MG
0–1
L
25 Feb
@ remo
1–1
D
16 Feb
@ Ypiranga-RS
3–0
W
13 Feb
vs Palmeiras
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santos and Internacional.
What is the prediction for Santos vs Internacional?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Santos vs Internacional?
On our numbers Santos have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Internacional 28%.
How many goals will there be in Santos vs Internacional?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santos vs Internacional?
Our predicted score is Santos 1–1 Internacional, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Santos vs Internacional?
Santos vs Internacional (Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Urbano Caldeira.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
