Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFlamengo to win ✓69% · @1.41
Double chanceFlamengo or draw ✓88% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.47
Chapecoense-sc vs Flamengo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chapecoense-sc welcome Flamengo to Arena Condá for a Serie A fixture on Thursday 23 July (01:30 WAT). In the table, Chapecoense-sc are 20th, in the drop zone, on 21 points after 33 matches; Flamengo are 1st (leading the league) with 76. There are 55 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Chapecoense-sc, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Bahia, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Flamengo, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Olimpia, at home. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Flamengo, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.7 for Chapecoense-sc.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chapecoense-sc 0.8 xG, Flamengo 2.3 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chapecoense-sc 12%, draw 19%, Flamengo 69%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chapecoense-sc 0–2 Flamengo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chapecoense-sc12%fair 8.25 · @7.30
Draw19%fair 5.26 · @4.40
Flamengo69%fair 1.45 · @1.41
3.09Expected goals
0.80Chapecoense-sc xG
2.29Flamengo xG
57%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–212%
0–110%
1–210%
0–39%
1–18%
1–37%
From our goals model: Chapecoense-sc 0.8 – 2.3 Flamengo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Chapecoense-sc
Flamengo
Attack vs Serie A average
-22%
+54%
Goals conceded vs average
+53%
-29%
Our expected goals here
0.85
2.69
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Flamengo to win✓
69%
1.45
1.41
Double chance
Flamengo or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Flamengo (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Flamengo -1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.12
First team to score
Flamengo to score first✓
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Flamengo ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Flamengo / FT Flamengo✓
47%
2.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.47
–
Recent results
Chapecoense-sc – last 6
LLDLWL
17 Jul
@ Bahia
0–2
L
4 Jun
@ Avai
0–3
L
27 May
vs Novorizontino
2–2
D
24 May
@ Cruzeiro
1–2
L
20 May
@ Novorizontino
2–0
W
17 May
vs Remo
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Flamengo – last 6
WWWDWW
18 Jul
vs Olimpia
4–2
W
11 Jul
@ Benfica
2–1
W
8 Jul
vs Lausanne
2–0
W
3 Jul
vs River Plate
2–2
D
30 May
vs Coritiba
3–0
W
27 May
vs Cusco
3–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chapecoense-sc and Flamengo.
What is the prediction for Chapecoense-sc vs Flamengo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Chapecoense-sc vs Flamengo?
On our numbers Chapecoense-sc have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Flamengo 69%.
How many goals will there be in Chapecoense-sc vs Flamengo?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chapecoense-sc vs Flamengo?
Our predicted score is Chapecoense-sc 0–2 Flamengo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Chapecoense-sc vs Flamengo?
Chapecoense-sc vs Flamengo (Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Condá.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
