Value bet: Cruzeiro to win @ 3.15 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultInternacional to win ✗40% · @2.24
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.14
Internacional vs Cruzeiro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:30 WAT, Thursday 23 July: Internacional v Cruzeiro in the Serie A, played at Estádio Beira-Rio. In the table, Internacional are 16th, lower half, on 38 points after 34 matches; Cruzeiro are 3rd (among the top four) with 60. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Internacional, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to RB Bragantino, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Cruzeiro, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Gremio, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Internacional 1.3 xG, Cruzeiro 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Internacional 40%, draw 26%, Cruzeiro 34%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Cruzeiro to win @3.15 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Internacional 1–1 Cruzeiro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Internacional40%fair 2.51 · @2.24
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.30
Cruzeiro34%fair 2.91 · @3.15
2.66Expected goals
1.33Internacional xG
1.33Cruzeiro xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Internacional 1.3 – 1.3 Cruzeiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Internacional
Cruzeiro
Attack vs Serie A average
-15%
+35%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-1%
Our expected goals here
1.29
1.46
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Internacional to win✗
40%
2.51
2.24
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.75
Draw no bet
Internacional (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Cruzeiro +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.94
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.09
First team to score
Internacional to score first✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Internacional / FT Internacional✗
21%
4.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.14
–
Recent results
Internacional – last 6
LWWLDW
31 May
@ RB Bragantino
1–3
L
12 May
vs Athletic Club
3–2
W
23 Apr
@ Athletic Club
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Mirassol
1–2
L
12 Apr
vs Gremio
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Corinthians
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cruzeiro – last 6
LWDWWD
12 Jul
@ Gremio
1–3
L
4 Jul
vs Defensor Sporting
2–0
W
1 Jun
vs Fluminense
1–1
D
29 May
vs Barcelona SC
4–0
W
24 May
vs Chapecoense-sc
2–1
W
20 May
@ Boca Juniors
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Internacional and Cruzeiro.
What is the prediction for Internacional vs Cruzeiro?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Internacional vs Cruzeiro?
On our numbers Internacional have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cruzeiro 34%.
How many goals will there be in Internacional vs Cruzeiro?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Internacional vs Cruzeiro?
Our predicted score is Internacional 1–1 Cruzeiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Internacional vs Cruzeiro?
Internacional vs Cruzeiro (Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Beira-Rio.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
