Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultPalmeiras to win ✗48% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.67
Botafogo vs Palmeiras: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Botafogo welcome Palmeiras to Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos for a Serie A fixture on Sunday 6 September (22:30 WAT). In the table, Botafogo are 11th, lower half, on 42 points after 34 matches; Palmeiras are 2nd (among the top four) with 73. There are 31 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Botafogo, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Flamengo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Palmeiras, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Santos, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Palmeiras, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Botafogo.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Mar 2026) it ended Palmeiras 2–1 Botafogo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Botafogo 1.3 xG, Palmeiras 1.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Botafogo 30%, draw 22%, Palmeiras 48%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botafogo 1–1 Palmeiras. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Botafogo30%fair 3.35 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.30
Palmeiras48%fair 2.09 · @2.15
2.92Expected goals
1.26Botafogo xG
1.66Palmeiras xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–27%
2–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Botafogo 1.3 – 1.7 Palmeiras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Botafogo vs Palmeiras?
On our numbers Botafogo have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Palmeiras 48%.
How many goals will there be in Botafogo vs Palmeiras?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botafogo vs Palmeiras?
Our predicted score is Botafogo 1–1 Palmeiras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Botafogo vs Palmeiras?
Botafogo vs Palmeiras (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
