Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCorinthians to win ✗71% · @1.36
Double chanceCorinthians or draw ✗91% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.56
Corinthians vs Chapecoense-sc: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Corinthians welcome Chapecoense-sc to Neo Quimica Arena for a Serie A fixture on Sunday 6 September (23:30 WAT). In the table, Corinthians are 17th, lower half, on 37 points after 34 matches; Chapecoense-sc are 20th (in the drop zone) with 21. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Corinthians, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Santos, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Chapecoense-sc, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Gremio, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Mar 2026) it ended Chapecoense-sc 0–0 Corinthians.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Corinthians 2.0 xG, Chapecoense-sc 0.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Corinthians 71%, draw 20%, Chapecoense-sc 9%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Corinthians to win (71%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Corinthians 1–0 Chapecoense-sc. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Corinthians71%fair 1.41 · @1.36
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @4.33
Chapecoense-sc9%fair 11.11 · @8.00
2.55Expected goals
1.99Corinthians xG
0.56Chapecoense-sc xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–015%
3–010%
1–19%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Corinthians 2.0 – 0.6 Chapecoense-sc expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Corinthians vs Chapecoense-sc?
Our pick is Corinthians to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Corinthians vs Chapecoense-sc?
On our numbers Corinthians have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Chapecoense-sc 9%.
How many goals will there be in Corinthians vs Chapecoense-sc?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Corinthians vs Chapecoense-sc?
Our predicted score is Corinthians 1–0 Chapecoense-sc, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Corinthians vs Chapecoense-sc?
Corinthians vs Chapecoense-sc (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Neo Quimica Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
