Coritiba vs Mirassol: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mirassol travel to face Coritiba on Sunday 6 September in the Serie A – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Coritiba are 12th, lower half, on 42 points after 34 matches; Mirassol are 14th (lower half) with 40. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Coritiba, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Remo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Mirassol, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Flamengo, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Coritiba, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Mirassol.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Mar 2026) it ended Mirassol 0–1 Coritiba.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Coritiba 1.4 xG, Mirassol 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Coritiba 43%, draw 24%, Mirassol 33%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Coritiba 1–1 Mirassol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Coritiba43%fair 2.35 · @2.38
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.00
Mirassol33%fair 3.00 · @2.90
2.64Expected goals
1.42Coritiba xG
1.22Mirassol xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Coritiba 1.4 – 1.2 Mirassol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Coritiba vs Mirassol?
On our numbers Coritiba have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mirassol 33%.
How many goals will there be in Coritiba vs Mirassol?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Coritiba vs Mirassol?
Our predicted score is Coritiba 1–1 Mirassol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Coritiba vs Mirassol?
Coritiba vs Mirassol (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
