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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fluminense v Vasco DA Gama: numbers & prediction

Serie A · Brazil
1–0
FT
Fluminense 44%Draw 23%Vasco DA Gama 33% Expected goals 1.52 – 1.28
54%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.86 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultFluminense to win ✓44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.12

Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 6 September the Serie A brings Fluminense against Vasco DA Gama. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, Fluminense are 4th, among the top four, on 57 points after 34 matches; Vasco DA Gama are 13th (lower half) with 41. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Fluminense, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Atletico Paranaense, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Vasco DA Gama, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Vitoria, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Aug 2026) it ended Fluminense 1–3 Vasco DA Gama. The last 4 head-to-heads: Fluminense 1 win, Vasco DA Gama 2, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fluminense 1.5 xG, Vasco DA Gama 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fluminense 44%, draw 23%, Vasco DA Gama 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fluminense 1–1 Vasco DA Gama. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fluminense44%fair 2.28 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.10
Vasco DA Gama33%fair 3.03 · @3.10
2.80Expected goals
1.52Fluminense xG
1.28Vasco DA Gama xG
54%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Fluminense 1.5 – 1.3 Vasco DA Gama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFluminense to win ✓44%2.282.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.861.85
Draw no betFluminense (draw no bet) ✓57%1.75–
Asian handicapVasco DA Gama +1 (Asian handicap)73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.88–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreFluminense to score first ✓51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fluminense / FT Fluminense ✗25%3.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.12–

Recent results

Fluminense – last 6

DWDWDD
30 Aug@ Atletico Paranaense3–3D
22 Augvs Remo2–1W
18 Aug@ Independ. Rivadavia1–1D
15 Augvs Palmeiras3–2W
11 Augvs Independ. Rivadavia0–0D
9 Aug@ Botafogo1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Vasco DA Gama – last 6

WWWLWL
3 Sep@ Vitoria2–0W
30 Augvs Cruzeiro3–1W
27 Augvs Vitoria1–0W
23 Aug@ Palmeiras1–4L
20 Aug@ Olimpia4–1W
16 Augvs Santos0–3L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Aug 2026Fluminense v Vasco DA Gama1–3
1 Aug 2026Vasco DA Gama v Fluminense0–0
19 Mar 2026Vasco DA Gama v Fluminense3–2
22 Feb 2026Vasco DA Gama v Fluminense0–1
Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama head-to-head page →

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo342374+4276
2Palmeiras3421103+3973
3Cruzeiro3418610+760
4Fluminense341699+1357
5Atletico Paranaense3415910+854
6Bahia3414119+553
7Atletico-MG3414812+450
8RB Bragantino3413813+547
9Santos34121111+147
10Sao Paulo3412814044
11Botafogo3411914-742
12Coritiba3411914-1142
13Vasco DA Gama3311814-741
14Mirassol34101014-940
15Vitoria3410816-1638
16Internacional3491114-438
17Corinthians3491015-637
18Gremio3491015-937
19Remo3461117-2029
20Chapecoense-sc334920-3521

More Serie A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama?

On our numbers Fluminense have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Vasco DA Gama 33%.

How many goals will there be in Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama?

Our predicted score is Fluminense 1–1 Vasco DA Gama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama?

Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.