Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gremio welcome Vasco DA Gama for a Serie A fixture on Saturday 12 September (20:00 WAT). In the table, Gremio are 18th, in the drop zone, on 37 points after 34 matches; Vasco DA Gama are 13th (lower half) with 41.
Current form
Gremio, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Vitoria, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Vasco DA Gama, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Santa Fe, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Vasco DA Gama, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Gremio.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gremio 1.3 xG, Vasco DA Gama 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gremio 42%, draw 24%, Vasco DA Gama 34%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.73, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gremio 1–1 Vasco DA Gama. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gremio42%fair 2.40 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.00
Vasco DA Gama34%fair 2.93 · @2.75
2.54Expected goals
1.35Gremio xG
1.19Vasco DA Gama xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Gremio 1.3 – 1.2 Vasco DA Gama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gremio to win✗
42%
2.40
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.80
Draw no bet
Gremio (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Vasco DA Gama +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Gremio to score first✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gremio / FT Gremio✗
23%
4.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.69
–
Recent results
Gremio – last 6
LWWDLL
8 Sep
@ Vitoria
0–1
L
4 Sep
vs Internacional
3–1
W
30 Aug
vs Chapecoense-sc
3–1
W
28 Aug
@ Internacional
0–0
D
23 Aug
@ RB Bragantino
0–1
L
16 Aug
@ Atletico-MG
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Vasco DA Gama – last 6
DLWWWL
8 Sep
@ Santa Fe
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Fluminense
0–1
L
3 Sep
@ Vitoria
2–0
W
30 Aug
vs Cruzeiro
3–1
W
27 Aug
vs Vitoria
1–0
W
23 Aug
@ Palmeiras
1–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gremio and Vasco DA Gama.
What is the prediction for Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama?
On our numbers Gremio have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Vasco DA Gama 34%.
How many goals will there be in Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama?
Our predicted score is Gremio 1–1 Vasco DA Gama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama?
Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
