Vasco DA Gama 61%Draw 25%Coritiba 15%Expected goals 1.90 – 0.84
61%
Betarazi pick
Vasco DA Gama to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultVasco DA Gama to win ✓61% · @1.55
Double chanceVasco DA Gama or draw ✓85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7% · fair 13.62
Vasco DA Gama vs Coritiba: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Vasco DA Gama welcome Coritiba to São Januário for a Serie A fixture on Sunday 20 September (00:30 WAT). In the table, Vasco DA Gama are 13th, lower half, on 41 points after 33 matches; Coritiba are 12th (lower half) with 42. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Vasco DA Gama, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Santa Fe, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Coritiba, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Atletico Paranaense, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Apr 2026) it ended Coritiba 1–1 Vasco DA Gama.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vasco DA Gama 1.9 xG, Coritiba 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vasco DA Gama 61%, draw 25%, Coritiba 15%.
Lower-risk option: Vasco DA Gama or draw (85%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Vasco DA Gama to win (61%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vasco DA Gama 1–0 Coritiba. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vasco DA Gama61%fair 1.65 · @1.55
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.80
Coritiba15%fair 6.82 · @5.50
2.74Expected goals
1.90Vasco DA Gama xG
0.84Coritiba xG
50%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Vasco DA Gama 1.9 – 0.8 Coritiba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Vasco DA Gama vs Coritiba?
Our pick is Vasco DA Gama to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Vasco DA Gama vs Coritiba?
On our numbers Vasco DA Gama have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Coritiba 15%.
How many goals will there be in Vasco DA Gama vs Coritiba?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vasco DA Gama vs Coritiba?
Our predicted score is Vasco DA Gama 1–0 Coritiba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Vasco DA Gama vs Coritiba?
Vasco DA Gama vs Coritiba (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at São Januário.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
