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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Vitoria v Cruzeiro: numbers & prediction

Serie A · Brazil · Estadio Manoel Barradas

Vitoria

DWLLL
1–3
FT
Vitoria 34%Draw 23%Cruzeiro 43% Expected goals 1.23 – 1.44
60%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultCruzeiro to win ✓43% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.33

Vitoria vs Cruzeiro: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Cruzeiro travel to face Vitoria on Sunday 20 September in the Serie A, with Estadio Manoel Barradas the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Vitoria are 15th, lower half, on 38 points after 34 matches; Cruzeiro are 3rd (among the top four) with 60. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Vitoria, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Mirassol, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Cruzeiro, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Santos, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Cruzeiro, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Vitoria.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Apr 2026) it ended Cruzeiro 3–0 Vitoria.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vitoria 1.2 xG, Cruzeiro 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vitoria 34%, draw 23%, Cruzeiro 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.67, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vitoria 1–1 Cruzeiro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vitoria34%fair 2.98 · @2.88
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.10
Cruzeiro43%fair 2.31 · @2.38
2.67Expected goals
1.23Vitoria xG
1.44Cruzeiro xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–27%

From our goals model: Vitoria 1.2 – 1.4 Cruzeiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCruzeiro to win ✓43%2.312.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.671.80 ▲
Draw no betCruzeiro (draw no bet) ✓56%1.78–
Asian handicapVitoria +1 (Asian handicap) ✗74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%2.00–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreCruzeiro to score first ✗50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cruzeiro / FT Cruzeiro ✗25%4.06–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.33–

Recent results

Vitoria – last 6

DWLLLL
13 Sep@ Mirassol2–2D
8 Sepvs Gremio1–0W
3 Sepvs Vasco DA Gama0–2L
29 Aug@ Atletico-MG1–2L
27 Aug@ Vasco DA Gama0–1L
23 Augvs Bahia0–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Cruzeiro – last 6

LWLLDW
13 Sep@ Santos1–2L
6 Sepvs Atletico Paranaense3–1W
2 Sep@ Atletico-MG1–2L
30 Aug@ Vasco DA Gama1–3L
26 Augvs Atletico-MG1–1D
23 Augvs Flamengo2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Apr 2026Cruzeiro v Vitoria3–0
Vitoria vs Cruzeiro head-to-head page →

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo342374+4276
2Palmeiras3421103+3973
3Cruzeiro3418610+760
4Fluminense341699+1357
5Atletico Paranaense3415910+854
6Bahia3414119+553
7Atletico-MG3414812+450
8RB Bragantino3413813+547
9Santos34121111+147
10Sao Paulo3412814044
11Botafogo3411914-742
12Coritiba3411914-1142
13Vasco DA Gama3311814-741
14Mirassol34101014-940
15Vitoria3410816-1638
16Internacional3491114-438
17Corinthians3491015-637
18Gremio3491015-937
19Remo3461117-2029
20Chapecoense-sc334920-3521

More Serie A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vitoria vs Cruzeiro?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Vitoria vs Cruzeiro?

On our numbers Vitoria have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cruzeiro 43%.

How many goals will there be in Vitoria vs Cruzeiro?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vitoria vs Cruzeiro?

Our predicted score is Vitoria 1–1 Cruzeiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Vitoria vs Cruzeiro?

Vitoria vs Cruzeiro (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manoel Barradas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.