Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Picks by market
ResultCruzeiro to win ✓43% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.33
Vitoria vs Cruzeiro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cruzeiro travel to face Vitoria on Sunday 20 September in the Serie A, with Estadio Manoel Barradas the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Vitoria are 15th, lower half, on 38 points after 34 matches; Cruzeiro are 3rd (among the top four) with 60. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Vitoria, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Mirassol, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Cruzeiro, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Santos, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Cruzeiro, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Vitoria.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Apr 2026) it ended Cruzeiro 3–0 Vitoria.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vitoria 1.2 xG, Cruzeiro 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vitoria 34%, draw 23%, Cruzeiro 43%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.67, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vitoria 1–1 Cruzeiro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vitoria34%fair 2.98 · @2.88
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.10
Cruzeiro43%fair 2.31 · @2.38
2.67Expected goals
1.23Vitoria xG
1.44Cruzeiro xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Vitoria 1.2 – 1.4 Cruzeiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Vitoria vs Cruzeiro?
On our numbers Vitoria have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cruzeiro 43%.
How many goals will there be in Vitoria vs Cruzeiro?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vitoria vs Cruzeiro?
Our predicted score is Vitoria 1–1 Cruzeiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Vitoria vs Cruzeiro?
Vitoria vs Cruzeiro (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manoel Barradas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.