Botafogo 37%Draw 23%Vasco DA Gama 40%Expected goals 1.43 – 1.50
63%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultVasco DA Gama to win ✓40% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.63
Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Thursday 8 October: Botafogo v Vasco DA Gama in the Serie A, played at Estádio Nilton Santos. In the table, Botafogo are 11th, lower half, on 42 points after 34 matches; Vasco DA Gama are 13th (lower half) with 41. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Botafogo, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Mirassol, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Vasco DA Gama, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Coritiba, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Vasco DA Gama, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Botafogo.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Vasco DA Gama 1–2 Botafogo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Botafogo 1.4 xG, Vasco DA Gama 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Botafogo 37%, draw 23%, Vasco DA Gama 40%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botafogo 1–1 Vasco DA Gama. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Botafogo37%fair 2.70 · @2.62
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.25
Vasco DA Gama40%fair 2.48 · @2.45
2.93Expected goals
1.43Botafogo xG
1.50Vasco DA Gama xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Botafogo 1.4 – 1.5 Vasco DA Gama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama?
On our numbers Botafogo have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Vasco DA Gama 40%.
How many goals will there be in Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama?
Our predicted score is Botafogo 1–1 Vasco DA Gama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama?
Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama (Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Nilton Santos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
