Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultFlamengo to win ✗59% · @1.80
Double chanceFlamengo or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Santos vs Flamengo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:30 WAT, Thursday 8 October: Santos v Flamengo in the Serie A, played at Estádio Urbano Caldeira. In the table, Santos are 9th, upper half, on 47 points after 34 matches; Flamengo are 1st (leading the league) with 76. There are 29 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Santos, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sao Paulo, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Flamengo, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over RB Bragantino, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santos 1.0 xG, Flamengo 1.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santos 20%, draw 22%, Flamengo 59%.
Lower-risk option: Flamengo or draw (80%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Flamengo or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santos 0–1 Flamengo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santos20%fair 5.03 · @3.90
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.50
Flamengo59%fair 1.71 · @1.80
2.89Expected goals
1.00Santos xG
1.89Flamengo xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
1–110%
0–210%
1–210%
0–36%
1–36%
From our goals model: Santos 1.0 – 1.9 Flamengo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Flamengo to win✗
59%
1.71
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Flamengo or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.67
Draw no bet
Flamengo (draw no bet)
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Santos +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Flamengo to score first✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Flamengo ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Flamengo / FT Flamengo✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.07
–
Recent results
Santos – last 6
WWLWWW
3 Oct
@ Sao Paulo
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Remo
2–1
W
16 Sep
@ Atletico-MG
2–4
L
13 Sep
vs Cruzeiro
2–1
W
9 Sep
vs Atletico-MG
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Internacional
3–2
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Flamengo – last 6
WDWWWW
20 Sep
vs RB Bragantino
2–1
W
18 Sep
vs Independiente del Valle
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Corinthians
2–1
W
11 Sep
@ Independiente del Valle
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Remo
1–0
W
2 Sep
vs Mirassol
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santos and Flamengo.
Our pick is Flamengo or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Santos vs Flamengo?
On our numbers Santos have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Flamengo 59%.
How many goals will there be in Santos vs Flamengo?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santos vs Flamengo?
Our predicted score is Santos 0–1 Flamengo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Santos vs Flamengo?
Santos vs Flamengo (Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Urbano Caldeira.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
