Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultVitoria to win ✓59% · @1.67
Double chanceVitoria or draw ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 8 October the Serie A brings Vitoria against Chapecoense-sc at Estadio Manoel Barradas. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Vitoria are 15th, lower half, on 38 points after 34 matches; Chapecoense-sc are 20th (in the drop zone) with 21. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Vitoria, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Cruzeiro, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Chapecoense-sc, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Atletico Nacional, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Chapecoense-sc, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Vitoria.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Chapecoense-sc 1–1 Vitoria.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vitoria 1.8 xG, Chapecoense-sc 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vitoria 59%, draw 22%, Chapecoense-sc 19%.
Lower-risk option: Vitoria or draw (81%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Vitoria to win (59%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vitoria 1–0 Chapecoense-sc. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vitoria59%fair 1.70 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.60
Chapecoense-sc19%fair 5.16 · @4.60
2.76Expected goals
1.83Vitoria xG
0.93Chapecoense-sc xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: Vitoria 1.8 – 0.9 Chapecoense-sc expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc?
Our pick is Vitoria to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc?
On our numbers Vitoria have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chapecoense-sc 19%.
How many goals will there be in Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc?
Our predicted score is Vitoria 1–0 Chapecoense-sc, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc?
Vitoria vs Chapecoense-sc (Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manoel Barradas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
