Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultFlamengo to win ✓48% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.79
Bahia vs Flamengo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Flamengo travel to face Bahia on Sunday 18 October in the Serie A, with Arena Fonte Nova the venue – the ball rolls at 22:30 WAT. In the table, Bahia are 6th, upper half, on 53 points after 34 matches; Flamengo are 1st (leading the league) with 76. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Bahia, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Mirassol, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Flamengo, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Estudiantes L.P., away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Flamengo 2–0 Bahia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bahia 1.2 xG, Flamengo 1.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bahia 31%, draw 21%, Flamengo 48%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bahia 1–1 Flamengo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bahia31%fair 3.27 · @2.90
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.40
Flamengo48%fair 2.08 · @2.15
2.72Expected goals
1.17Bahia xG
1.55Flamengo xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Bahia 1.2 – 1.6 Flamengo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Bahia vs Flamengo?
On our numbers Bahia have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Flamengo 48%.
How many goals will there be in Bahia vs Flamengo?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bahia vs Flamengo?
Our predicted score is Bahia 1–1 Flamengo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Bahia vs Flamengo?
Bahia vs Flamengo (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Fonte Nova.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
