Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultFluminense to win ✗45% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.93
Fluminense vs Santos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Sunday 18 October: Fluminense v Santos in the Serie A. In the table, Fluminense are 4th, among the top four, on 57 points after 34 matches; Santos are 9th (upper half) with 47.
Current form
Fluminense, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Palmeiras, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Santos, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Atletico-MG, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Santos, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Fluminense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fluminense 1.6 xG, Santos 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fluminense 45%, draw 23%, Santos 32%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fluminense 1–1 Santos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fluminense45%fair 2.21 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.20
Santos32%fair 3.11 · @2.80
2.93Expected goals
1.61Fluminense xG
1.32Santos xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Fluminense 1.6 – 1.3 Santos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fluminense to win✗
45%
2.21
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.70
Draw no bet
Fluminense (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Santos +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Fluminense to score first✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fluminense / FT Fluminense✗
27%
3.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.93
–
Recent results
Fluminense – last 6
LLWWLL
15 Oct
vs Palmeiras
1–2
L
11 Oct
@ Flamengo
0–1
L
9 Oct
vs Coritiba
4–0
W
20 Sep
@ Corinthians
3–1
W
15 Sep
@ Platense
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Atletico-MG
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Santos – last 6
LDWWLW
11 Oct
@ Atletico-MG
1–2
L
8 Oct
vs Flamengo
2–2
D
3 Oct
@ Sao Paulo
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Remo
2–1
W
16 Sep
@ Atletico-MG
2–4
L
13 Sep
vs Cruzeiro
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fluminense and Santos.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Fluminense vs Santos?
On our numbers Fluminense have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Santos 32%.
How many goals will there be in Fluminense vs Santos?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fluminense vs Santos?
Our predicted score is Fluminense 1–1 Santos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Fluminense vs Santos?
Fluminense vs Santos (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
