Gremio vs Cruzeiro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 18 October the Serie A brings Gremio against Cruzeiro at Arena do Grêmio. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Gremio are 18th, in the drop zone, on 37 points after 34 matches; Cruzeiro are 3rd (among the top four) with 60. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Gremio, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Internacional, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Cruzeiro, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to RB Bragantino, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Cruzeiro, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Gremio.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Jul 2026) it ended Gremio 3–1 Cruzeiro. The last 2 head-to-heads: Gremio 1 win, Cruzeiro 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gremio 1.2 xG, Cruzeiro 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gremio 33%, draw 22%, Cruzeiro 45%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gremio 1–1 Cruzeiro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gremio33%fair 3.00 · @2.80
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.30
Cruzeiro45%fair 2.23 · @2.30
2.70Expected goals
1.23Gremio xG
1.47Cruzeiro xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Gremio 1.2 – 1.5 Cruzeiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Gremio vs Cruzeiro?
On our numbers Gremio have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cruzeiro 45%.
How many goals will there be in Gremio vs Cruzeiro?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gremio vs Cruzeiro?
Our predicted score is Gremio 1–1 Cruzeiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Gremio vs Cruzeiro?
Gremio vs Cruzeiro (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena do Grêmio.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
