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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mirassol v Sao Paulo: numbers & prediction

Serie A · Brazil · José Maria de Campos Maia

Mirassol

WLDWD
1–1
FT

Sao Paulo

WWLLW
Mirassol 44%Draw 24%Sao Paulo 32% Expected goals 1.34 – 1.10
56%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.78 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultMirassol to win ✗44% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.63

Mirassol vs Sao Paulo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sao Paulo travel to face Mirassol on Saturday 24 October in the Serie A, with José Maria de Campos Maia the venue – the ball rolls at 20:30 WAT. In the table, Mirassol are 14th, lower half, on 40 points after 34 matches; Sao Paulo are 10th (upper half) with 44.

Current form

Mirassol, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Internacional, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Sao Paulo, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Vasco DA Gama, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended Sao Paulo 1–0 Mirassol.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mirassol 1.3 xG, Sao Paulo 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mirassol 44%, draw 24%, Sao Paulo 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mirassol 1–1 Sao Paulo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mirassol44%fair 2.29 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.00
Sao Paulo32%fair 3.09 · @3.00
2.44Expected goals
1.34Mirassol xG
1.10Sao Paulo xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%

From our goals model: Mirassol 1.3 – 1.1 Sao Paulo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMirassol to win ✗44%2.292.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.781.75
Draw no betMirassol (draw no bet)57%1.74–
Asian handicapSao Paulo +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.79–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreMirassol to score first50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mirassol / FT Mirassol ✗24%4.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.63–

Recent results

Mirassol – last 6

WLDWDW
17 Octvs Internacional2–0W
11 Oct@ Bahia0–1L
7 Oct@ RB Bragantino1–1D
19 Sepvs Botafogo2–0W
13 Sepvs Vitoria2–2D
6 Sep@ Coritiba2–1W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Sao Paulo – last 6

WWLLWD
18 Octvs Vasco DA Gama1–0W
11 Octvs Vitoria2–1W
8 Oct@ Cruzeiro0–2L
3 Octvs Santos1–2L
20 Sepvs Internacional1–0W
16 Sepvs Boca Juniors1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Apr 2026Sao Paulo v Mirassol1–0
Mirassol vs Sao Paulo head-to-head page →

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo342374+4276
2Palmeiras3421103+3973
3Cruzeiro3418610+760
4Fluminense341699+1357
5Atletico Paranaense3415910+854
6Bahia3414119+553
7Atletico-MG3414812+450
8RB Bragantino3413813+547
9Santos34121111+147
10Sao Paulo3412814044
11Botafogo3411914-742
12Coritiba3411914-1142
13Vasco DA Gama3311814-741
14Mirassol34101014-940
15Vitoria3410816-1638
16Internacional3491114-438
17Corinthians3491015-637
18Gremio3491015-937
19Remo3461117-2029
20Chapecoense-sc334920-3521

More Serie A predictions

League hub
FT Cruzeiro1 Remo0 170%1.35X21%4.8028%7.50 2.2–0.7xG 1Cruzeiro to win 70%@1.35 ✓
FT Internacional3 Botafogo0 159%1.95X25%3.40215%3.40 1.8–0.8xG 1XInternacional or draw 85%@1.25 ✓
FT Vitoria1 Atletico Paranaense1 138%2.50X23%3.10239%2.62 1.3–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 60%@1.67 ✓
FT Palmeiras2 RB Bragantino0 163%1.55X19%4.00218%5.00 1.7–0.7xG 1Palmeiras to win 63%@1.55 ✓
FT Vasco DA Gama3 Corinthians2 159%1.67X20%3.60220%4.60 1.6–0.8xG 1Vasco DA Gama to win 59%@1.67 ✓
FT Chapecoense-sc2 Fluminense1 114%4.00X26%3.40260%1.80 0.9–2.0xG X2Fluminense or draw 86%@1.22 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mirassol vs Sao Paulo?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Mirassol vs Sao Paulo?

On our numbers Mirassol have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sao Paulo 32%.

How many goals will there be in Mirassol vs Sao Paulo?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mirassol vs Sao Paulo?

Our predicted score is Mirassol 1–1 Sao Paulo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Mirassol vs Sao Paulo?

Mirassol vs Sao Paulo (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at José Maria de Campos Maia.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.