Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultAtletico Paranaense to win ✗39% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.12
Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:30 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Vitoria v Atletico Paranaense in the Serie A, played at Barradao. In the table, Vitoria are 15th, lower half, on 38 points after 34 matches; Atletico Paranaense are 5th (upper half) with 54. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Vitoria, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Corinthians, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Atletico Paranaense, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Palmeiras, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Head to head
When they last met (7 Aug 2026) it ended Vitoria 4–0 Atletico Paranaense. The last 2 head-to-heads: Vitoria 1 win, Atletico Paranaense 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vitoria 1.3 xG, Atletico Paranaense 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vitoria 38%, draw 23%, Atletico Paranaense 39%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vitoria 1–1 Atletico Paranaense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vitoria38%fair 2.61 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.10
Atletico Paranaense39%fair 2.59 · @2.62
2.66Expected goals
1.33Vitoria xG
1.33Atletico Paranaense xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Vitoria 1.3 – 1.3 Atletico Paranaense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense?
On our numbers Vitoria have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atletico Paranaense 39%.
How many goals will there be in Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense?
Our predicted score is Vitoria 1–1 Atletico Paranaense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense?
Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Barradao.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
