Vasco DA Gama 59%Draw 20%Corinthians 20%Expected goals 1.65 – 0.81
59%
Betarazi pick
Vasco DA Gama to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultVasco DA Gama to win ✓59% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.11
Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 24 October the Serie A brings Vasco DA Gama against Corinthians at São Januário. Kick-off: 22:30 WAT. In the table, Vasco DA Gama are 13th, lower half, on 41 points after 33 matches; Corinthians are 17th (lower half) with 37.
Current form
Vasco DA Gama, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Boca Juniors, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Corinthians, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Vitoria, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Vasco DA Gama, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.2 for Corinthians.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vasco DA Gama 1.6 xG, Corinthians 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vasco DA Gama 59%, draw 20%, Corinthians 20%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Vasco DA Gama to win (59%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vasco DA Gama 1–0 Corinthians. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vasco DA Gama59%fair 1.69 · @1.67
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.60
Corinthians20%fair 4.88 · @4.60
2.46Expected goals
1.65Vasco DA Gama xG
0.81Corinthians xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Vasco DA Gama 1.6 – 0.8 Corinthians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vasco DA Gama to win✓
59%
1.69
1.67
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.85
Draw no bet
Vasco DA Gama (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Corinthians +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Vasco DA Gama to score first✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vasco DA Gama / FT Vasco DA Gama✓
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.11
–
Recent results
Vasco DA Gama – last 6
LLWDWW
21 Oct
vs Boca Juniors
1–3
L
18 Oct
@ Sao Paulo
0–1
L
14 Oct
@ Boca Juniors
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Remo
0–0
D
8 Oct
@ Botafogo
2–1
W
20 Sep
vs Coritiba
5–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Corinthians – last 6
DLLLLL
20 Oct
vs Vitoria
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Palmeiras
1–4
L
7 Oct
@ Internacional
1–2
L
20 Sep
vs Fluminense
1–3
L
17 Sep
vs Estudiantes L.P.
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Flamengo
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vasco DA Gama and Corinthians.
What is the prediction for Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians?
Our pick is Vasco DA Gama to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians?
On our numbers Vasco DA Gama have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Corinthians 20%.
How many goals will there be in Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians?
Our predicted score is Vasco DA Gama 1–0 Corinthians, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians?
Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at São Januário.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
