Atlas vs Atletico San Luis: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Sunday 22 February: Atlas v Atletico San Luis in the Liga MX, played at Estadio Jalisco. In the table, Atlas are 5th, upper half, on 27 points after 16 matches; Atletico San Luis are 14th (lower half) with 19.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlas 1.5 xG, Atletico San Luis 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlas 41%, draw 25%, Atletico San Luis 34%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlas 1–1 Atletico San Luis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlas41%fair 2.45 · @2.37
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.30
Atletico San Luis34%fair 2.95 · @2.80
2.89Expected goals
1.54Atlas xG
1.34Atletico San Luis xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Atlas 1.5 – 1.3 Atletico San Luis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atlas
Atletico San Luis
Attack vs Liga MX average
+4%
-18%
Goals conceded vs average
+14%
-5%
Our expected goals here
1.59
1.31
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlas to win✓
41%
2.45
2.37
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.75
Draw no bet
Atlas (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Atletico San Luis +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.29
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.94
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.29
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
1.10
First team to score
Atlas to score first
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlas / FT Atlas✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.20
–
Recent results
Atlas – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Pachuca
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Atletico San Luis – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Club Queretaro
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlas and Atletico San Luis.
What is the prediction for Atlas vs Atletico San Luis?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Atlas vs Atletico San Luis?
On our numbers Atlas have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atletico San Luis 34%.
How many goals will there be in Atlas vs Atletico San Luis?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlas vs Atletico San Luis?
Our predicted score is Atlas 1–1 Atletico San Luis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Atlas vs Atletico San Luis?
Atlas vs Atletico San Luis (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jalisco.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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