Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Guadalajara Chivas travel to face Cruz Azul on Sunday 22 February in the Liga MX, with Estadio Azteca the venue – the ball rolls at 04:05 WAT. In the table, Cruz Azul are 1st, leading the league, on 32 points after 16 matches; Guadalajara Chivas are 3rd (among the top four) with 30. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cruz Azul 1.6 xG, Guadalajara Chivas 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 53% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cruz Azul 41%, draw 25%, Guadalajara Chivas 34%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cruz Azul 1–1 Guadalajara Chivas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cruz Azul41%fair 2.44 · @2.48
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.30
Guadalajara Chivas34%fair 2.95 · @2.74
2.93Expected goals
1.55Cruz Azul xG
1.38Guadalajara Chivas xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%
From our goals model: Cruz Azul 1.6 – 1.4 Guadalajara Chivas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cruz Azul
Guadalajara Chivas
Attack vs Liga MX average
+40%
+8%
Goals conceded vs average
-4%
-25%
Our expected goals here
1.68
1.47
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cruz Azul to win✓
41%
2.44
2.48
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.65
Draw no bet
Cruz Azul (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Guadalajara Chivas +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.12
First team to score
Cruz Azul to score first✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cruz Azul / FT Cruz Azul✓
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.28
–
Recent results
Cruz Azul – last 2
WW
15 Feb
vs Tigres UANL
2–1
W
13 Feb
vs Vancouver FC
5–0
W
3.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Guadalajara Chivas – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Club America
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cruz Azul and Guadalajara Chivas.
What is the prediction for Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas?
On our numbers Cruz Azul have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Guadalajara Chivas 34%.
How many goals will there be in Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Our predicted score is Cruz Azul 1–1 Guadalajara Chivas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 04:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Azteca.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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