Leon 52%Draw 24%Santos Laguna 24%Expected goals 1.63 – 1.25
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultLeon to win ✓52% · @1.59
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.74
Leon vs Santos Laguna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Santos Laguna travel to face Leon on Sunday 22 February in the Liga MX, with Estadio Leon the venue – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leon 1.6 xG, Santos Laguna 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leon 52%, draw 24%, Santos Laguna 24%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leon 1–1 Santos Laguna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leon52%fair 1.91 · @1.59
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @4.10
Santos Laguna24%fair 4.15 · @5.10
2.87Expected goals
1.63Leon xG
1.25Santos Laguna xG
63%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–07%
1–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: Leon 1.6 – 1.2 Santos Laguna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Leon
Santos Laguna
Attack vs Liga MX average
-3%
+0%
Goals conceded vs average
-3%
-14%
Our expected goals here
1.35
1.36
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leon to win✓
52%
1.91
1.59
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.60
Draw no bet
Leon (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.46
–
Asian handicap
Santos Laguna +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.20
First team to score
Leon to score first
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leon / FT Leon✓
28%
3.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.74
–
Recent results
Leon – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Monterrey
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Santos Laguna – last 1
L
16 Feb
vs Mazatlán
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leon and Santos Laguna.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Leon vs Santos Laguna?
On our numbers Leon have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Santos Laguna 24%.
How many goals will there be in Leon vs Santos Laguna?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leon vs Santos Laguna?
Our predicted score is Leon 1–1 Santos Laguna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Leon vs Santos Laguna?
Leon vs Santos Laguna (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Leon.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán1