Double chanceAtletico San Luis or draw ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.50
Atletico San Luis vs Puebla: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 1 March the Liga MX brings Atletico San Luis against Puebla at Alfonso Lastras Ramirez. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Atletico San Luis are 14th, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; Puebla are 13th (lower half) with 19. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico San Luis 1.6 xG, Puebla 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico San Luis 52%, draw 26%, Puebla 23%.
Lower-risk option: Atletico San Luis or draw (77%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Atletico San Luis or draw (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico San Luis 1–1 Puebla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico San Luis52%fair 1.94 · @1.90
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.50
Puebla23%fair 4.43 · @3.90
2.76Expected goals
1.64Atletico San Luis xG
1.12Puebla xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Atletico San Luis 1.6 – 1.1 Puebla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atletico San Luis
Puebla
Attack vs Liga MX average
-18%
-19%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.35
1.08
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico San Luis to win✗
52%
1.94
1.90
Double chance
Atletico San Luis or draw✗
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.70
Draw no bet
Atletico San Luis (draw no bet)✗
70%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Puebla +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.12
First team to score
Atletico San Luis to score first✗
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico San Luis / FT Atletico San Luis✗
30%
3.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.50
–
Recent results
Atletico San Luis – last 2
LW
22 Feb
@ Atlas
2–3
L
15 Feb
vs Club Queretaro
3–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Puebla – last 2
LL
21 Feb
vs Club America
0–4
L
14 Feb
vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico San Luis and Puebla.
What is the prediction for Atletico San Luis vs Puebla?
Our pick is Atletico San Luis or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Atletico San Luis vs Puebla?
On our numbers Atletico San Luis have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Puebla 23%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico San Luis vs Puebla?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico San Luis vs Puebla?
Our predicted score is Atletico San Luis 1–1 Puebla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Atletico San Luis vs Puebla?
Atletico San Luis vs Puebla (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Alfonso Lastras Ramirez.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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