Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultPachuca to win ✓59% · @1.77
Double chancePachuca or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.14
Pachuca vs Necaxa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pachuca welcome Necaxa to Estadio Miguel Hidalgo for a Liga MX fixture on Wednesday 4 March (02:00 WAT). In the table, Pachuca are 8th, upper half, on 22 points after 16 matches; Necaxa are 17th (in the drop zone) with 13.
Current form
Pachuca, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Mazatlán, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Necaxa, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Leon, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Pachuca, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Necaxa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pachuca 1.9 xG, Necaxa 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pachuca 59%, draw 23%, Necaxa 18%.
Lower-risk option: Pachuca or draw (82%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Pachuca or draw (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pachuca 1–0 Necaxa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pachuca59%fair 1.70 · @1.77
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.70
Necaxa18%fair 5.41 · @4.30
2.78Expected goals
1.89Pachuca xG
0.89Necaxa xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Pachuca 1.9 – 0.9 Necaxa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Pachuca
Necaxa
Attack vs Liga MX average
+17%
-26%
Goals conceded vs average
-17%
+7%
Our expected goals here
2.00
0.86
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pachuca to win✓
59%
1.70
1.77
Double chance
Pachuca or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.77
Draw no bet
Pachuca (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Pachuca -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.11
First team to score
Pachuca to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Pachuca ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pachuca / FT Pachuca✓
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
Pachuca – last 3
LWW
28 Feb
@ Mazatlán
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Tigres UANL
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Atlas
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Necaxa – last 3
LLW
1 Mar
@ Leon
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Toluca
0–3
L
15 Feb
@ FC Juarez
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pachuca and Necaxa.
Our pick is Pachuca or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Pachuca vs Necaxa?
On our numbers Pachuca have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Necaxa 18%.
How many goals will there be in Pachuca vs Necaxa?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pachuca vs Necaxa?
Our predicted score is Pachuca 1–0 Necaxa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Pachuca vs Necaxa?
Pachuca vs Necaxa (Liga MX) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán1