Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultCruz Azul to win ✓56% · @1.46
Double chanceCruz Azul or draw ✓79% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.50
Santos Laguna vs Cruz Azul: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cruz Azul travel to face Santos Laguna on Wednesday 4 March in the Liga MX, with Estadio TSM Corona the venue – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, Santos Laguna are 6th, upper half, on 25 points after 16 matches; Cruz Azul are 1st (leading the league) with 32.
Current form
Santos Laguna, last 3: DLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Club Queretaro, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Cruz Azul, last 4: WWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Monterrey, away. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Cruz Azul, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.3 for Santos Laguna.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santos Laguna 1.3 xG, Cruz Azul 1.9 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santos Laguna 21%, draw 23%, Cruz Azul 56%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santos Laguna 1–1 Cruz Azul. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santos Laguna21%fair 4.73 · @6.25
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @4.40
Cruz Azul56%fair 1.79 · @1.46
3.17Expected goals
1.31Santos Laguna xG
1.86Cruz Azul xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–18%
0–27%
2–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Santos Laguna 1.3 – 1.9 Cruz Azul expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Santos Laguna
Cruz Azul
Attack vs Liga MX average
+0%
+40%
Goals conceded vs average
-14%
-4%
Our expected goals here
1.55
1.69
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cruz Azul to win✓
56%
1.79
1.46
Double chance
Cruz Azul or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.62
Draw no bet
Cruz Azul (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Santos Laguna +1 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.60
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
First team to score
Cruz Azul to score first✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Cruz Azul ahead at half-time✓
38%
2.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cruz Azul / FT Cruz Azul✓
31%
3.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.50
–
Recent results
Santos Laguna – last 3
DLL
28 Feb
@ Club Queretaro
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Leon
1–2
L
16 Feb
vs Mazatlán
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Cruz Azul – last 4
WWWW
1 Mar
@ Monterrey
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Guadalajara Chivas
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Tigres UANL
2–1
W
13 Feb
vs Vancouver FC
5–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santos Laguna and Cruz Azul.
What is the prediction for Santos Laguna vs Cruz Azul?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Santos Laguna vs Cruz Azul?
On our numbers Santos Laguna have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cruz Azul 56%.
How many goals will there be in Santos Laguna vs Cruz Azul?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santos Laguna vs Cruz Azul?
Our predicted score is Santos Laguna 1–1 Cruz Azul, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Santos Laguna vs Cruz Azul?
Santos Laguna vs Cruz Azul (Liga MX) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio TSM Corona.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán1