Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.77 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAtletico San Luis to win ✓54% · @1.63
Double chanceAtletico San Luis or draw ✓78% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.50
Atletico San Luis vs Mazatlán: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atletico San Luis welcome Mazatlán to Alfonso Lastras Ramirez for a Liga MX fixture on Wednesday 4 March (04:00 WAT).
Current form
Atletico San Luis, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Puebla, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Mazatlán, last 3: WDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Pachuca, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Mazatlán, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Atletico San Luis.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico San Luis 1.7 xG, Mazatlán 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico San Luis 54%, draw 24%, Mazatlán 22%.
Lower-risk option: Atletico San Luis or draw (78%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.77 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico San Luis 1–1 Mazatlán. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico San Luis54%fair 1.85 · @1.63
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.85
Mazatlán22%fair 4.58 · @5.10
2.89Expected goals
1.69Atletico San Luis xG
1.20Mazatlán xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: Atletico San Luis 1.7 – 1.2 Mazatlán expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atletico San Luis
Mazatlán
Attack vs Liga MX average
-18%
+3%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
+14%
Our expected goals here
1.50
1.37
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico San Luis to win✓
54%
1.85
1.63
Double chance
Atletico San Luis or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.77 ▲
Draw no bet
Atletico San Luis (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Mazatlán +1 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
1.14
First team to score
Atletico San Luis to score first
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico San Luis / FT Atletico San Luis✗
30%
3.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.50
–
Recent results
Atletico San Luis – last 3
LLW
1 Mar
vs Puebla
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Atlas
2–3
L
15 Feb
vs Club Queretaro
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Mazatlán – last 3
WDW
28 Feb
vs Pachuca
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Club Tijuana
1–1
D
16 Feb
@ Santos Laguna
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico San Luis and Mazatlán.
What is the prediction for Atletico San Luis vs Mazatlán?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Atletico San Luis vs Mazatlán?
On our numbers Atletico San Luis have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mazatlán 22%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico San Luis vs Mazatlán?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico San Luis vs Mazatlán?
Our predicted score is Atletico San Luis 1–1 Mazatlán, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Atletico San Luis vs Mazatlán?
Atletico San Luis vs Mazatlán (Liga MX) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Alfonso Lastras Ramirez.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
