Cruz Azul 62%Draw 21%Atletico San Luis 17%Expected goals 2.09 – 1.04
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultCruz Azul to win ✓62% · @1.45
Double chanceCruz Azul or draw ✓83% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Cruz Azul vs Atletico San Luis: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Sunday 8 March: Cruz Azul v Atletico San Luis in the Liga MX, played at Estadio Cuauhtemoc. In the table, Cruz Azul are 1st, leading the league, on 32 points after 16 matches; Atletico San Luis are 14th (lower half) with 19. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Cruz Azul, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Santos Laguna, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.6 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Atletico San Luis, last 4: WLLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Mazatlán, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Cruz Azul, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.5 for Atletico San Luis.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cruz Azul 2.1 xG, Atletico San Luis 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cruz Azul 62%, draw 21%, Atletico San Luis 17%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cruz Azul 2–1 Atletico San Luis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cruz Azul62%fair 1.61 · @1.45
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @4.35
Atletico San Luis17%fair 5.83 · @6.75
3.12Expected goals
2.09Cruz Azul xG
1.04Atletico San Luis xG
58%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–010%
1–110%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Cruz Azul 2.1 – 1.0 Atletico San Luis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cruz Azul
Atletico San Luis
Attack vs Liga MX average
+40%
-18%
Goals conceded vs average
-4%
-5%
Our expected goals here
2.13
1.11
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cruz Azul to win✓
62%
1.61
1.45
Double chance
Cruz Azul or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.73
Draw no bet
Cruz Azul (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Cruz Azul -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
First team to score
Cruz Azul to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Cruz Azul ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cruz Azul / FT Cruz Azul✓
39%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Recent results
Cruz Azul – last 5
WWWWW
4 Mar
@ Santos Laguna
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Monterrey
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Guadalajara Chivas
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Tigres UANL
2–1
W
13 Feb
vs Vancouver FC
5–0
W
2.6Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Atletico San Luis – last 4
WLLW
4 Mar
vs Mazatlán
4–1
W
1 Mar
vs Puebla
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Atlas
2–3
L
15 Feb
vs Club Queretaro
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cruz Azul and Atletico San Luis.
What is the prediction for Cruz Azul vs Atletico San Luis?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cruz Azul vs Atletico San Luis?
On our numbers Cruz Azul have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Atletico San Luis 17%.
How many goals will there be in Cruz Azul vs Atletico San Luis?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruz Azul vs Atletico San Luis?
Our predicted score is Cruz Azul 2–1 Atletico San Luis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Cruz Azul vs Atletico San Luis?
Cruz Azul vs Atletico San Luis (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Cuauhtemoc.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
