Double chanceGuadalajara Chivas or draw ✓80% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.20
Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Guadalajara Chivas travel to face Atlas on Sunday 8 March in the Liga MX, with Estadio Jalisco the venue – the ball rolls at 02:05 WAT. In the table, Atlas are 5th, upper half, on 27 points after 16 matches; Guadalajara Chivas are 3rd (among the top four) with 30. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Atlas, last 4: WLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Club Tijuana, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Guadalajara Chivas, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Toluca, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Atlas, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Guadalajara Chivas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlas 1.1 xG, Guadalajara Chivas 1.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 53% and GG at 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlas 20%, draw 23%, Guadalajara Chivas 57%.
Lower-risk option: Guadalajara Chivas or draw (80%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlas 1–1 Guadalajara Chivas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlas20%fair 4.98 · @5.20
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.70
Guadalajara Chivas57%fair 1.76 · @1.65
2.91Expected goals
1.11Atlas xG
1.80Guadalajara Chivas xG
52%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–06%
2–16%
From our goals model: Atlas 1.1 – 1.8 Guadalajara Chivas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atlas
Guadalajara Chivas
Attack vs Liga MX average
+4%
+8%
Goals conceded vs average
+14%
-25%
Our expected goals here
1.25
1.74
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guadalajara Chivas to win✓
57%
1.76
1.65
Double chance
Guadalajara Chivas or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.83
Draw no bet
Guadalajara Chivas (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Atlas +1 (Asian handicap)
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.11
First team to score
Guadalajara Chivas to score first✗
59%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Guadalajara Chivas ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guadalajara Chivas / FT Guadalajara Chivas✗
33%
3.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.20
–
Recent results
Atlas – last 4
WLWL
5 Mar
vs Club Tijuana
2–1
W
28 Feb
@ FC Juarez
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Atletico San Luis
3–2
W
15 Feb
@ Pachuca
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Guadalajara Chivas – last 3
LLW
1 Mar
@ Toluca
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ Cruz Azul
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Club America
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlas and Guadalajara Chivas.
What is the prediction for Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas?
On our numbers Atlas have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Guadalajara Chivas 57%.
How many goals will there be in Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Our predicted score is Atlas 1–1 Guadalajara Chivas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas?
Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 02:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jalisco.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
