Tigres UANL vs Monterrey: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tigres UANL welcome Monterrey to Estadio Universitario (UANL) for a Liga MX fixture on Sunday 8 March (04:00 WAT). In the table, Tigres UANL are 15th, lower half, on 15 points after 16 matches; Monterrey are 10th (lower half) with 21.
Current form
Tigres UANL, last 4: LWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Puebla, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Monterrey, last 4: WLLW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Club Queretaro, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Monterrey, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Tigres UANL.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tigres UANL 1.6 xG, Monterrey 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tigres UANL 48%, draw 25%, Monterrey 28%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tigres UANL 1–1 Monterrey. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tigres UANL48%fair 2.10 · @1.93
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.50
Monterrey28%fair 3.61 · @3.75
2.93Expected goals
1.60Tigres UANL xG
1.32Monterrey xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Tigres UANL 1.6 – 1.3 Monterrey expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Tigres UANL
Monterrey
Attack vs Liga MX average
-17%
+5%
Goals conceded vs average
-2%
+10%
Our expected goals here
1.47
1.44
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tigres UANL to win✓
48%
2.10
1.93
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.67
Draw no bet
Tigres UANL (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
Monterrey +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.13
First team to score
Tigres UANL to score first✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tigres UANL / FT Tigres UANL✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.97
–
Recent results
Tigres UANL – last 4
LWLL
5 Mar
@ Puebla
1–3
L
1 Mar
@ Club America
4–1
W
21 Feb
vs Pachuca
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Cruz Azul
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Monterrey – last 4
WLLW
5 Mar
vs Club Queretaro
4–0
W
1 Mar
vs Cruz Azul
0–2
L
23 Feb
@ U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Leon
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tigres UANL and Monterrey.
What is the prediction for Tigres UANL vs Monterrey?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Tigres UANL vs Monterrey?
On our numbers Tigres UANL have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Monterrey 28%.
How many goals will there be in Tigres UANL vs Monterrey?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tigres UANL vs Monterrey?
Our predicted score is Tigres UANL 1–1 Monterrey, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Tigres UANL vs Monterrey?
Tigres UANL vs Monterrey (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Universitario (UANL).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
