Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultGuadalajara Chivas to win ✓63% · @1.20
Double chanceGuadalajara Chivas or draw ✓84% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Guadalajara Chivas vs Santos Laguna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Santos Laguna travel to face Guadalajara Chivas on Sunday 15 March in the Liga MX, with Estadio Akron the venue – the ball rolls at 00:07 WAT. In the table, Guadalajara Chivas are 3rd, among the top four, on 30 points after 16 matches; Santos Laguna are 6th (upper half) with 25.
Current form
Guadalajara Chivas, last 4: WLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Atlas, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Santos Laguna, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Club Tijuana, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Guadalajara Chivas, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Santos Laguna.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guadalajara Chivas 1.8 xG, Santos Laguna 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guadalajara Chivas 63%, draw 21%, Santos Laguna 16%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guadalajara Chivas 1–1 Santos Laguna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guadalajara Chivas63%fair 1.58 · @1.20
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @6.00
Santos Laguna16%fair 6.45 · @10.00
2.76Expected goals
1.81Guadalajara Chivas xG
0.95Santos Laguna xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
3–06%
From our goals model: Guadalajara Chivas 1.8 – 1.0 Santos Laguna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Guadalajara Chivas
Santos Laguna
Attack vs Liga MX average
+8%
+0%
Goals conceded vs average
-25%
-14%
Our expected goals here
1.50
1.05
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guadalajara Chivas to win✓
63%
1.58
1.20
Double chance
Guadalajara Chivas or draw✓
84%
1.18
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.73
Draw no bet
Guadalajara Chivas (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Santos Laguna +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Guadalajara Chivas to score first✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Guadalajara Chivas ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guadalajara Chivas / FT Guadalajara Chivas✓
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.15
–
Recent results
Guadalajara Chivas – last 4
WLLW
8 Mar
@ Atlas
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Toluca
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ Cruz Azul
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Club America
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Santos Laguna – last 5
WLDLL
9 Mar
@ Club Tijuana
2–1
W
4 Mar
vs Cruz Azul
1–2
L
28 Feb
@ Club Queretaro
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Leon
1–2
L
16 Feb
vs Mazatlán
1–2
L
1.4Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guadalajara Chivas and Santos Laguna.
What is the prediction for Guadalajara Chivas vs Santos Laguna?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Guadalajara Chivas vs Santos Laguna?
On our numbers Guadalajara Chivas have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Santos Laguna 16%.
How many goals will there be in Guadalajara Chivas vs Santos Laguna?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guadalajara Chivas vs Santos Laguna?
Our predicted score is Guadalajara Chivas 1–1 Santos Laguna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Guadalajara Chivas vs Santos Laguna?
Guadalajara Chivas vs Santos Laguna (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 00:07 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Akron.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Leon0