Leon 49%Draw 25%Club Tijuana 26%Expected goals 1.55 – 1.22
59%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultLeon to win ✗49% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.90
Leon vs Club Tijuana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 March the Liga MX brings Leon against Club Tijuana at Estadio Leon. Kick-off: 02:00 WAT.
Current form
Leon, last 4: LWWL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Mazatlán, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Club Tijuana, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Santos Laguna, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Leon, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.4 for Club Tijuana.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leon 1.5 xG, Club Tijuana 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leon 49%, draw 25%, Club Tijuana 26%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leon 1–1 Club Tijuana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leon49%fair 2.04 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.50
Club Tijuana26%fair 3.92 · @3.70
2.77Expected goals
1.55Leon xG
1.22Club Tijuana xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Leon 1.5 – 1.2 Club Tijuana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Leon
Club Tijuana
Attack vs Liga MX average
-3%
+0%
Goals conceded vs average
-3%
-10%
Our expected goals here
1.40
1.37
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leon to win✗
49%
2.04
1.75
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.53
Draw no bet
Leon (draw no bet)✗
66%
1.52
–
Asian handicap
Club Tijuana +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Leon to score first✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leon / FT Leon✗
27%
3.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.90
–
Recent results
Leon – last 4
LWWL
7 Mar
@ Mazatlán
2–4
L
1 Mar
vs Necaxa
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Santos Laguna
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Monterrey
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Club Tijuana – last 5
LLDDL
9 Mar
vs Santos Laguna
1–2
L
5 Mar
@ Atlas
1–2
L
28 Feb
vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Mazatlán
1–1
D
14 Feb
@ Toluca
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leon and Club Tijuana.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Leon vs Club Tijuana?
On our numbers Leon have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Club Tijuana 26%.
How many goals will there be in Leon vs Club Tijuana?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leon vs Club Tijuana?
Our predicted score is Leon 1–1 Club Tijuana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Leon vs Club Tijuana?
Leon vs Club Tijuana (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Leon.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
